Trader consensus on Polymarket's Republican presidential nominee 2028 market prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49%, J.D. Vance at 39%, and Marco Rubio at 27%, driven primarily by Donald Trump's dominant 2024 victory and his enduring sway over GOP primary dynamics as a likely kingmaker ineligible for reelection. Kennedy's top odds reflect his high-profile Trump endorsement, independent campaign suspension, and rumors of a cabinet appointment like HHS secretary, aligning his anti-establishment vaccine stance with MAGA voters. Vance benefits from his VP role and Midwest appeal, while Rubio gains from Senate prominence and Florida donor ties. Recent post-election cabinet speculation and Trump transition announcements have lifted these leaders' implied probabilities, though odds remain volatile before 2026 midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于J.D. Vance 39.0%
分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥 26.6%
塔克·卡尔森 3.4%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 3.0%
$433,781,708 交易量
$433,781,708 交易量

J.D. Vance
39%

分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥
27%

塔克·卡尔森
3%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%

唐纳德·特朗普
2%

托马斯·马西
2%

格伦·扬金
1%

唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%

分组项标题:马特·盖茨
1%

分组项标题:妮基·黑利
1%

分组项标题:埃隆·马斯克
1%

伊万卡·特朗普
1%

泰德·克鲁茨
1%

塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%

布赖恩·肯普
1%

凯蒂·布里特
1%

玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%

格雷格·艾博特
1%

罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%

乔什·霍利
1%

约翰·桑恩
1%

分组项标题:汤姆·布雷迪
1%

金·卡戴珊
1%

埃里克·特朗普
1%

分组项标题:Elise Stefanik
1%

埃里卡·柯克
1%

克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%

斯蒂夫·班农
1%

拜伦·唐纳斯
1%

乔·肯特
1%

迈克·彭斯
1%
J.D. Vance 39.0%
分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥 26.6%
塔克·卡尔森 3.4%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 3.0%
$433,781,708 交易量
$433,781,708 交易量

J.D. Vance
39%

分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥
27%

塔克·卡尔森
3%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%

唐纳德·特朗普
2%

托马斯·马西
2%

格伦·扬金
1%

唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%

分组项标题:马特·盖茨
1%

分组项标题:妮基·黑利
1%

分组项标题:埃隆·马斯克
1%

伊万卡·特朗普
1%

泰德·克鲁茨
1%

塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%

布赖恩·肯普
1%

凯蒂·布里特
1%

玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%

格雷格·艾博特
1%

罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%

乔什·霍利
1%

约翰·桑恩
1%

分组项标题:汤姆·布雷迪
1%

金·卡戴珊
1%

埃里克·特朗普
1%

分组项标题:Elise Stefanik
1%

埃里卡·柯克
1%

克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%

斯蒂夫·班农
1%

拜伦·唐纳斯
1%

乔·肯特
1%

迈克·彭斯
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket's Republican presidential nominee 2028 market prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49%, J.D. Vance at 39%, and Marco Rubio at 27%, driven primarily by Donald Trump's dominant 2024 victory and his enduring sway over GOP primary dynamics as a likely kingmaker ineligible for reelection. Kennedy's top odds reflect his high-profile Trump endorsement, independent campaign suspension, and rumors of a cabinet appointment like HHS secretary, aligning his anti-establishment vaccine stance with MAGA voters. Vance benefits from his VP role and Midwest appeal, while Rubio gains from Senate prominence and Florida donor ties. Recent post-election cabinet speculation and Trump transition announcements have lifted these leaders' implied probabilities, though odds remain volatile before 2026 midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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