OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026, backed by a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and strong commitments from Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The company continues rejecting unsolicited bids, such as the 2025 Musk-led offer, while expanding through its own deals like the Ona and io acquisitions to strengthen Codex agents, hardware, and enterprise capabilities. Leadership prioritizes independent scaling toward artificial general intelligence benchmarks over a sale, with IPO timing potentially pushed into 2027 for a trillion-dollar target. Regulatory scrutiny of large tech combinations or an unforeseen capital crunch remain the main variables that could reopen discussions, though current capital access and strategic momentum make those outcomes unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026, backed by a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and strong commitments from Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The company continues rejecting unsolicited bids, such as the 2025 Musk-led offer, while expanding through its own deals like the Ona and io acquisitions to strengthen Codex agents, hardware, and enterprise capabilities. Leadership prioritizes independent scaling toward artificial general intelligence benchmarks over a sale, with IPO timing potentially pushed into 2027 for a trillion-dollar target. Regulatory scrutiny of large tech combinations or an unforeseen capital crunch remain the main variables that could reopen discussions, though current capital access and strategic momentum make those outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
交易量
$4,599结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026, backed by a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and strong commitments from Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The company continues rejecting unsolicited bids, such as the 2025 Musk-led offer, while expanding through its own deals like the Ona and io acquisitions to strengthen Codex agents, hardware, and enterprise capabilities. Leadership prioritizes independent scaling toward artificial general intelligence benchmarks over a sale, with IPO timing potentially pushed into 2027 for a trillion-dollar target. Regulatory scrutiny of large tech combinations or an unforeseen capital crunch remain the main variables that could reopen discussions, though current capital access and strategic momentum make those outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$4,599结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETOpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026, backed by a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and strong commitments from Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The company continues rejecting unsolicited bids, such as the 2025 Musk-led offer, while expanding through its own deals like the Ona and io acquisitions to strengthen Codex agents, hardware, and enterprise capabilities. Leadership prioritizes independent scaling toward artificial general intelligence benchmarks over a sale, with IPO timing potentially pushed into 2027 for a trillion-dollar target. Regulatory scrutiny of large tech combinations or an unforeseen capital crunch remain the main variables that could reopen discussions, though current capital access and strategic momentum make those outcomes unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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