OpenAI holds near-certain market-implied odds for securing the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model ecosystem that drives substantial ChatGPT subscription and API revenue streams. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and developer activity that reliably outpace newer entrants like xAI, whose recent model releases have yet to scale comparable monetization. Traders weigh OpenAI’s established user base and integration partnerships as durable advantages in the competitive landscape. Still, a surprise regulatory intervention or accelerated rival product uptake could narrow the gap, though such disruptions appear unlikely to alter the outcome within this brief reporting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 99.8%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$38,373 交易量
$38,373 交易量
2026-05-17
Anthropic
No
OpenAI
Yes
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
No
Xiaomi
No
MiniMax
No
xAI
No
OpenAI 99.8%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$38,373 交易量
$38,373 交易量
2026-05-17
Anthropic
$2,352 交易量
No
OpenAI
$19,469 交易量
Yes
Z.ai
$3,087 交易量
No
DeepSeek
$3,581 交易量
No
$1,996 交易量
No
Xiaomi
$1,457 交易量
No
MiniMax
$950 交易量
No
xAI
$5,480 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI holds near-certain market-implied odds for securing the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model ecosystem that drives substantial ChatGPT subscription and API revenue streams. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and developer activity that reliably outpace newer entrants like xAI, whose recent model releases have yet to scale comparable monetization. Traders weigh OpenAI’s established user base and integration partnerships as durable advantages in the competitive landscape. Still, a surprise regulatory intervention or accelerated rival product uptake could narrow the gap, though such disruptions appear unlikely to alter the outcome within this brief reporting window.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$38,373结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI holds near-certain market-implied odds for securing the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model ecosystem that drives substantial ChatGPT subscription and API revenue streams. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and developer activity that reliably outpace newer entrants like xAI, whose recent model releases have yet to scale comparable monetization. Traders weigh OpenAI’s established user base and integration partnerships as durable advantages in the competitive landscape. Still, a surprise regulatory intervention or accelerated rival product uptake could narrow the gap, though such disruptions appear unlikely to alter the outcome within this brief reporting window.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
交易量
$38,373结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
OpenAI holds near-certain market-implied odds for securing the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model ecosystem that drives substantial ChatGPT subscription and API revenue streams. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and developer activity that reliably outpace newer entrants like xAI, whose recent model releases have yet to scale comparable monetization. Traders weigh OpenAI’s established user base and integration partnerships as durable advantages in the competitive landscape. Still, a surprise regulatory intervention or accelerated rival product uptake could narrow the gap, though such disruptions appear unlikely to alter the outcome within this brief reporting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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