Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's recent surge past OpenAI in secondary market pricing—reaching $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and $934 billion on Hyperliquid, exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round. This shift stems from Anthropic's explosive revenue run-rate growth to $30-40 billion annualized, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude agents and safety-focused positioning, alongside locked-in compute commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion). OpenAI faces cooling secondary demand amid reported Q1 revenue shortfalls. Key catalysts include Anthropic's potential $50 billion raise at $900 billion+ this summer and H2 IPO prospects, though model advancements like GPT-5.5 could challenge the lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$51,372 交易量
$51,372 交易量
2026-12-31
$51,372 交易量
$51,372 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's recent surge past OpenAI in secondary market pricing—reaching $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and $934 billion on Hyperliquid, exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round. This shift stems from Anthropic's explosive revenue run-rate growth to $30-40 billion annualized, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude agents and safety-focused positioning, alongside locked-in compute commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion). OpenAI faces cooling secondary demand amid reported Q1 revenue shortfalls. Key catalysts include Anthropic's potential $50 billion raise at $900 billion+ this summer and H2 IPO prospects, though model advancements like GPT-5.5 could challenge the lead.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
交易量
$51,372结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's recent surge past OpenAI in secondary market pricing—reaching $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and $934 billion on Hyperliquid, exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round. This shift stems from Anthropic's explosive revenue run-rate growth to $30-40 billion annualized, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude agents and safety-focused positioning, alongside locked-in compute commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion). OpenAI faces cooling secondary demand amid reported Q1 revenue shortfalls. Key catalysts include Anthropic's potential $50 billion raise at $900 billion+ this summer and H2 IPO prospects, though model advancements like GPT-5.5 could challenge the lead.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$51,372结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's recent surge past OpenAI in secondary market pricing—reaching $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and $934 billion on Hyperliquid, exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round. This shift stems from Anthropic's explosive revenue run-rate growth to $30-40 billion annualized, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude agents and safety-focused positioning, alongside locked-in compute commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion). OpenAI faces cooling secondary demand amid reported Q1 revenue shortfalls. Key catalysts include Anthropic's potential $50 billion raise at $900 billion+ this summer and H2 IPO prospects, though model advancements like GPT-5.5 could challenge the lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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