Trader consensus favoring "No" at 65.5% for a North Korea missile test or launch by March 31 reflects the absence of confirmed preparations or announcements from Pyongyang amid a relative lull in ballistic activity. North Korea's last short-range ballistic missile salvo occurred on February 27, followed by cruise missile firings on March 15, but state media has emphasized artillery drills and conventional training under Kim Jong Un's supervision rather than new tests. Satellite monitoring by U.S. and allied intelligence shows no unusual activity at key launch sites, while ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint exercises have prompted verbal threats but no escalation. Historical patterns indicate irregular testing tied to provocations, with March seeing fewer launches, supporting traders' assessment of subdued risk before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$15,142 交易量
$15,142 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
$15,142 交易量
$15,142 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
交易量
$15,142结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$15,142结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favoring "No" at 65.5% for a North Korea missile test or launch by March 31 reflects the absence of confirmed preparations or announcements from Pyongyang amid a relative lull in ballistic activity. North Korea's last short-range ballistic missile salvo occurred on February 27, followed by cruise missile firings on March 15, but state media has emphasized artillery drills and conventional training under Kim Jong Un's supervision rather than new tests. Satellite monitoring by U.S. and allied intelligence shows no unusual activity at key launch sites, while ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint exercises have prompted verbal threats but no escalation. Historical patterns indicate irregular testing tied to provocations, with March seeing fewer launches, supporting traders' assessment of subdued risk before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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