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Luigi Mangione 在2025年的认罪协议?

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Luigi Mangione 在2025年的认罪协议?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$22,119 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$22,119 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are: Federal - Murder through use of a firearm State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed. If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are:
Federal - Murder through use of a firearm
State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree

If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed.

If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$22,119
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Feb 21, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are: Federal - Murder through use of a firearm State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed. If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are: Federal - Murder through use of a firearm State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed. If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are:
Federal - Murder through use of a firearm
State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree

If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed.

If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$22,119
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Feb 21, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are: Federal - Murder through use of a firearm State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed. If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"Luigi Mangione 在2025年的认罪协议?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Luigi Mangione 2025年认罪协议?",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Luigi Mangione 在2025年的认罪协议?"已产生 $22.1K 的总交易量(自Feb 21, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Luigi Mangione 在2025年的认罪协议?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Luigi Mangione 在2025年的认罪协议?"的当前领先者是"Luigi Mangione 2025年认罪协议?",仅有 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"Luigi Mangione 在2025年的认罪协议?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。