Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability that Jerome Powell exits the Federal Reserve Board of Governors by December 31, 2026, driven by his March 18 FOMC press conference statements affirming no intention to depart amid an ongoing Justice Department investigation while his successor, Trump-nominated Kevin Warsh, awaits Senate confirmation. Powell's Chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his Governor seat extends to January 2028, with political tensions and the probe creating uncertainty around early resolution. Recent Fed policy stasis—holding rates steady—highlights institutional friction, as markets await Warsh confirmation hearings and probe developments that could prompt Powell's accelerated exit or entrenchment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$117,804 交易量
2026-12-31
5月30日
38%
12月31日
70%
$117,804 交易量
5月30日
$66,139 交易量
38%
12月31日
$51,665 交易量
70%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability that Jerome Powell exits the Federal Reserve Board of Governors by December 31, 2026, driven by his March 18 FOMC press conference statements affirming no intention to depart amid an ongoing Justice Department investigation while his successor, Trump-nominated Kevin Warsh, awaits Senate confirmation. Powell's Chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his Governor seat extends to January 2028, with political tensions and the probe creating uncertainty around early resolution. Recent Fed policy stasis—holding rates steady—highlights institutional friction, as markets await Warsh confirmation hearings and probe developments that could prompt Powell's accelerated exit or entrenchment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$117,804结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability that Jerome Powell exits the Federal Reserve Board of Governors by December 31, 2026, driven by his March 18 FOMC press conference statements affirming no intention to depart amid an ongoing Justice Department investigation while his successor, Trump-nominated Kevin Warsh, awaits Senate confirmation. Powell's Chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his Governor seat extends to January 2028, with political tensions and the probe creating uncertainty around early resolution. Recent Fed policy stasis—holding rates steady—highlights institutional friction, as markets await Warsh confirmation hearings and probe developments that could prompt Powell's accelerated exit or entrenchment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$117,804结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability that Jerome Powell exits the Federal Reserve Board of Governors by December 31, 2026, driven by his March 18 FOMC press conference statements affirming no intention to depart amid an ongoing Justice Department investigation while his successor, Trump-nominated Kevin Warsh, awaits Senate confirmation. Powell's Chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his Governor seat extends to January 2028, with political tensions and the probe creating uncertainty around early resolution. Recent Fed policy stasis—holding rates steady—highlights institutional friction, as markets await Warsh confirmation hearings and probe developments that could prompt Powell's accelerated exit or entrenchment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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