Israeli airstrikes targeted Hezbollah strongholds in Beirut's southern suburbs after the group's leader Hassan Nasrallah was killed on September 27, yet no ground incursion into the capital has occurred, with operations limited to southern Lebanon border areas launched early October to degrade rocket launch sites and infrastructure. Ongoing exchanges of Hezbollah rockets and Israeli artillery continue without northern advances, amid stalled US-French ceasefire proposals requiring Hezbollah withdrawal north of the Litani River. Diplomatic talks in Qatar and potential UN Security Council action loom as key upcoming events that could de-escalate or prolong the conflict, keeping trader consensus focused on the high barriers—logistical strains, urban warfare risks, and political fallout—to any Beirut entry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$48,022 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
2%
4月30日
11%
$48,022 交易量
3月31日
$14,901 交易量
2%
4月30日
$33,121 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$48,022结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$48,022结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli airstrikes targeted Hezbollah strongholds in Beirut's southern suburbs after the group's leader Hassan Nasrallah was killed on September 27, yet no ground incursion into the capital has occurred, with operations limited to southern Lebanon border areas launched early October to degrade rocket launch sites and infrastructure. Ongoing exchanges of Hezbollah rockets and Israeli artillery continue without northern advances, amid stalled US-French ceasefire proposals requiring Hezbollah withdrawal north of the Litani River. Diplomatic talks in Qatar and potential UN Security Council action loom as key upcoming events that could de-escalate or prolong the conflict, keeping trader consensus focused on the high barriers—logistical strains, urban warfare risks, and political fallout—to any Beirut entry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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