Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$475,363 交易量
2026-04-30
4月12日
否
4月14日
是
4月19日
是
4月30日
是
$475,363 交易量
4月12日
$90,350 交易量
否
4月14日
$195,518 交易量
是
4月19日
$122,896 交易量
是
4月30日
$66,597 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$475,363结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$475,363结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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