Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于本周有多少船只经过霍尔木兹海峡？ （ 4月13日至19日）
本周有多少船只经过霍尔木兹海峡？ （ 4月13日至19日）
80+ 100.0%
少于10艘 <1%
10-19 <1%
20-29 <1%
$273,534 交易量
$273,534 交易量
2026-04-19
少于10艘
否
10-19
否
20-29
否
30-39
否
40-49
否
50-59
否
60-69
否
70-79
否
80+
是
80+ 100.0%
少于10艘 <1%
10-19 <1%
20-29 <1%
$273,534 交易量
$273,534 交易量
2026-04-19
少于10艘
$17,369 交易量
否
10-19
$17,228 交易量
否
20-29
$10,519 交易量
否
30-39
$11,012 交易量
否
40-49
$12,352 交易量
否
50-59
$9,795 交易量
否
60-69
$9,615 交易量
否
70-79
$11,668 交易量
否
80+
$173,977 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$273,534结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
交易量
$273,534结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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