Persistent cross-border rocket fire from Gaza militants and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon remains the primary driver of trader consensus favoring rocket alerts in Israel by March 20, with sirens activating automatically upon detected launches. Recent IDF operations against Hamas tunnels and Hezbollah targets have prompted retaliatory barrages, including over 20 alerts in the past week per Home Front Command updates, amid stalled U.S.-brokered ceasefire talks. No major de-escalation signals from official statements, sustaining elevated risk. Traders weigh baseline conflict volatility against potential diplomatic breakthroughs, such as upcoming Qatar-mediated negotiations, which could shift probabilities if progress emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$95,441 交易量
Mar 20, 2026
20k
No
22k
No
24k
No
$95,441 交易量
20k
$35,800 交易量
No
22k
$37,673 交易量
No
24k
$21,969 交易量
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.
市场开放时间： Mar 17, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
交易量
$95,441结束日期
Mar 20, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time.
Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.
交易量
$95,441结束日期
Mar 20, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent cross-border rocket fire from Gaza militants and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon remains the primary driver of trader consensus favoring rocket alerts in Israel by March 20, with sirens activating automatically upon detected launches. Recent IDF operations against Hamas tunnels and Hezbollah targets have prompted retaliatory barrages, including over 20 alerts in the past week per Home Front Command updates, amid stalled U.S.-brokered ceasefire talks. No major de-escalation signals from official statements, sustaining elevated risk. Traders weigh baseline conflict volatility against potential diplomatic breakthroughs, such as upcoming Qatar-mediated negotiations, which could shift probabilities if progress emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题