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1月份美国将罢工多少个不同的国家?

Market icon

1月份美国将罢工多少个不同的国家?

少于或等于3 100.0%

4 <1%

5 <1%

6 <1%

Polymarket

$14,625 交易量

少于或等于3 100.0%

4 <1%

5 <1%

6 <1%

Polymarket

$14,625 交易量

少于或等于3

$3,921 交易量

4

$941 交易量

5

$3,266 交易量

6

$2,699 交易量

7个或以上

$3,799 交易量

This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will not qualify, regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. Markets may resolve to "No" as soon as strikes on more than the specified amount of different sovereign UN member states' soil have been confirmed.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the US at the time of market creation will not be counted toward this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$14,625
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
创建时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will not qualify, regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. Markets may resolve to "No" as soon as strikes on more than the specified amount of different sovereign UN member states' soil have been confirmed. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the US at the time of market creation will not be counted toward this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"1月份美国将罢工多少个不同的国家?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少于或等于3" at 100%, followed by "4" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "1月份美国将罢工多少个不同的国家?" has generated $14.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "1月份美国将罢工多少个不同的国家?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "1月份美国将罢工多少个不同的国家?" is "少于或等于3" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "1月份美国将罢工多少个不同的国家?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.