Waymo's trader consensus leans toward 12+ cities at 45.5% implied probability, driven by granular expansions of its robotaxi service across municipal boundaries in core markets. The Phoenix metro now spans at least six cities including Phoenix, Tempe, Chandler, Mesa, Scottsdale, and Gilbert, while greater Los Angeles covers Santa Monica, Culver City, Inglewood, and downtown LA (four total), San Francisco adds one, and Austin's recent public launch in early June contributes another. Recent catalysts include Waymo's May map doublings in LA and Phoenix, enabling driverless rides in additional neighborhoods, plus regulatory nods in Texas boosting Austin rollout. With under three weeks to June 30, traders eye potential SF Bay Area tweaks or Atlanta previews as swing factors amid Waymo's superior safety metrics versus rivals like Cruise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于12+ 45%
11 21%
10 14%
≤5 6.9%
$131,532 交易量
$131,532 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
7%
6
3%
7
3%
8
4%
9
3%
10
14%
11
21%
12+
45%
12+ 45%
11 21%
10 14%
≤5 6.9%
$131,532 交易量
$131,532 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
$40,260 交易量
7%
6
$14,991 交易量
3%
7
$10,882 交易量
3%
8
$11,614 交易量
4%
9
$14,985 交易量
3%
10
$9,315 交易量
14%
11
$10,543 交易量
21%
12+
$18,942 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's trader consensus leans toward 12+ cities at 45.5% implied probability, driven by granular expansions of its robotaxi service across municipal boundaries in core markets. The Phoenix metro now spans at least six cities including Phoenix, Tempe, Chandler, Mesa, Scottsdale, and Gilbert, while greater Los Angeles covers Santa Monica, Culver City, Inglewood, and downtown LA (four total), San Francisco adds one, and Austin's recent public launch in early June contributes another. Recent catalysts include Waymo's May map doublings in LA and Phoenix, enabling driverless rides in additional neighborhoods, plus regulatory nods in Texas boosting Austin rollout. With under three weeks to June 30, traders eye potential SF Bay Area tweaks or Atlanta previews as swing factors amid Waymo's superior safety metrics versus rivals like Cruise.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
交易量
$131,532结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's trader consensus leans toward 12+ cities at 45.5% implied probability, driven by granular expansions of its robotaxi service across municipal boundaries in core markets. The Phoenix metro now spans at least six cities including Phoenix, Tempe, Chandler, Mesa, Scottsdale, and Gilbert, while greater Los Angeles covers Santa Monica, Culver City, Inglewood, and downtown LA (four total), San Francisco adds one, and Austin's recent public launch in early June contributes another. Recent catalysts include Waymo's May map doublings in LA and Phoenix, enabling driverless rides in additional neighborhoods, plus regulatory nods in Texas boosting Austin rollout. With under three weeks to June 30, traders eye potential SF Bay Area tweaks or Atlanta previews as swing factors amid Waymo's superior safety metrics versus rivals like Cruise.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$131,532结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Waymo's trader consensus leans toward 12+ cities at 45.5% implied probability, driven by granular expansions of its robotaxi service across municipal boundaries in core markets. The Phoenix metro now spans at least six cities including Phoenix, Tempe, Chandler, Mesa, Scottsdale, and Gilbert, while greater Los Angeles covers Santa Monica, Culver City, Inglewood, and downtown LA (four total), San Francisco adds one, and Austin's recent public launch in early June contributes another. Recent catalysts include Waymo's May map doublings in LA and Phoenix, enabling driverless rides in additional neighborhoods, plus regulatory nods in Texas boosting Austin rollout. With under three weeks to June 30, traders eye potential SF Bay Area tweaks or Atlanta previews as swing factors amid Waymo's superior safety metrics versus rivals like Cruise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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