Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF center Seoul's April 2 high temperature around 13-15°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with 14°C (24.5%), 13°C (21.0%), and 15°C (18.5%) leading amid early spring variability. Yesterday's April 1 high of 14°C establishes a cool baseline influenced by a recent northerly airflow and lingering cold air mass, while potential diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—forecast with 20-60% precipitation chance—could elevate readings. Key differentiators include cloud cover modulating insolation, light winds (E-SW 5-10 km/h) affecting boundary layer mixing, and minor frontal timing shifts; historical early April averages hover near 14°C (57°F). Traders await overnight KMA updates and new model runs resolving these uncertainties before tomorrow's measurement at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
14°C 26%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
12°C 16%
$85,287 交易量
$85,287 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
16%
13°C
24%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C or higher
13%
14°C 26%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
12°C 16%
$85,287 交易量
$85,287 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
$33,601 交易量
<1%
7°C
$4,223 交易量
<1%
8°C
$4,301 交易量
<1%
9°C
$6,329 交易量
1%
10°C
$6,293 交易量
2%
11°C
$5,582 交易量
8%
12°C
$3,668 交易量
16%
13°C
$4,438 交易量
24%
14°C
$3,849 交易量
26%
15°C
$4,286 交易量
22%
16°C or higher
$8,824 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF center Seoul's April 2 high temperature around 13-15°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with 14°C (24.5%), 13°C (21.0%), and 15°C (18.5%) leading amid early spring variability. Yesterday's April 1 high of 14°C establishes a cool baseline influenced by a recent northerly airflow and lingering cold air mass, while potential diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—forecast with 20-60% precipitation chance—could elevate readings. Key differentiators include cloud cover modulating insolation, light winds (E-SW 5-10 km/h) affecting boundary layer mixing, and minor frontal timing shifts; historical early April averages hover near 14°C (57°F). Traders await overnight KMA updates and new model runs resolving these uncertainties before tomorrow's measurement at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
交易量
$85,287结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF center Seoul's April 2 high temperature around 13-15°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with 14°C (24.5%), 13°C (21.0%), and 15°C (18.5%) leading amid early spring variability. Yesterday's April 1 high of 14°C establishes a cool baseline influenced by a recent northerly airflow and lingering cold air mass, while potential diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—forecast with 20-60% precipitation chance—could elevate readings. Key differentiators include cloud cover modulating insolation, light winds (E-SW 5-10 km/h) affecting boundary layer mixing, and minor frontal timing shifts; historical early April averages hover near 14°C (57°F). Traders await overnight KMA updates and new model runs resolving these uncertainties before tomorrow's measurement at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$85,287结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF center Seoul's April 2 high temperature around 13-15°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with 14°C (24.5%), 13°C (21.0%), and 15°C (18.5%) leading amid early spring variability. Yesterday's April 1 high of 14°C establishes a cool baseline influenced by a recent northerly airflow and lingering cold air mass, while potential diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies—forecast with 20-60% precipitation chance—could elevate readings. Key differentiators include cloud cover modulating insolation, light winds (E-SW 5-10 km/h) affecting boundary layer mixing, and minor frontal timing shifts; historical early April averages hover near 14°C (57°F). Traders await overnight KMA updates and new model runs resolving these uncertainties before tomorrow's measurement at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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