Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS clustering projected highs at 12–15°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent 24-hour updates show today's partly cloudy skies and 17°C high transitioning to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds tomorrow, capping diurnal heating and differentiating outcomes: fuller cloud decks favor 12–13°C, partial clearing pushes toward 14–15°C, while 16°C+ requires unexpected stronger solar insolation. Early April climatology averages ~14°C highs, but model spread highlights sensitivity to frontal timing and East Asian monsoon onset precursors; watch KMA evening briefings for refined probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
13°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
12°C 16%
$90,209 交易量
$90,209 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
16%
13°C
26%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C or higher
11%
13°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
12°C 16%
$90,209 交易量
$90,209 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
$34,601 交易量
<1%
7°C
$4,490 交易量
<1%
8°C
$4,447 交易量
1%
9°C
$6,526 交易量
1%
10°C
$6,515 交易量
2%
11°C
$5,815 交易量
8%
12°C
$3,997 交易量
16%
13°C
$4,887 交易量
26%
14°C
$4,057 交易量
22%
15°C
$4,802 交易量
21%
16°C or higher
$10,288 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS clustering projected highs at 12–15°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent 24-hour updates show today's partly cloudy skies and 17°C high transitioning to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds tomorrow, capping diurnal heating and differentiating outcomes: fuller cloud decks favor 12–13°C, partial clearing pushes toward 14–15°C, while 16°C+ requires unexpected stronger solar insolation. Early April climatology averages ~14°C highs, but model spread highlights sensitivity to frontal timing and East Asian monsoon onset precursors; watch KMA evening briefings for refined probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
交易量
$90,209结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS clustering projected highs at 12–15°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent 24-hour updates show today's partly cloudy skies and 17°C high transitioning to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds tomorrow, capping diurnal heating and differentiating outcomes: fuller cloud decks favor 12–13°C, partial clearing pushes toward 14–15°C, while 16°C+ requires unexpected stronger solar insolation. Early April climatology averages ~14°C highs, but model spread highlights sensitivity to frontal timing and East Asian monsoon onset precursors; watch KMA evening briefings for refined probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$90,209结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS clustering projected highs at 12–15°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent 24-hour updates show today's partly cloudy skies and 17°C high transitioning to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds tomorrow, capping diurnal heating and differentiating outcomes: fuller cloud decks favor 12–13°C, partial clearing pushes toward 14–15°C, while 16°C+ requires unexpected stronger solar insolation. Early April climatology averages ~14°C highs, but model spread highlights sensitivity to frontal timing and East Asian monsoon onset precursors; watch KMA evening briefings for refined probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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