Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 8–10°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON (DWD), and GFS models converging on a mean near 9°C after recent cold air advection from the north. This differentiates leaders from cooler 7°C (13.5%) odds, where outlier ensemble members account for potential persistent cloud cover delaying diurnal heating, and warmer 11–12°C (16%) via optimistic clear-sky scenarios boosting insolation. Late-March climatology averages 11°C highs, but current jet stream positioning favors subdued highs absent strong high-pressure ridging; upcoming 00Z model runs could shift probabilities if boundary layer mixing varies. Uncertainty stems from 1–2°C model spread typical for 1–2 day leads.