Latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF ensemble models drive trader optimism for Denver's March 28 high reaching 80°F or above (34% implied probability), projecting a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering adiabatic warming and downslope chinook winds. Supporting 78-79°F at 23.5% and 74-75°F at 18.5% odds reflect consensus on warm advection amid low precipitation chances, though spread across bins highlights uncertainty from potential cloud intrusions or late cold frontal timing. Key variables include jet stream positioning—favoring ridging for extremes—and soil moisture deficits amplifying heat; historical late-March averages hover near 57°F, with records exceeding 80°F feasible under clear skies. Traders eye 00Z model updates for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 12%
61°F or below
4%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
24%
80°F or higher
34%
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 12%
61°F or below
4%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
24%
80°F or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF ensemble models drive trader optimism for Denver's March 28 high reaching 80°F or above (34% implied probability), projecting a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering adiabatic warming and downslope chinook winds. Supporting 78-79°F at 23.5% and 74-75°F at 18.5% odds reflect consensus on warm advection amid low precipitation chances, though spread across bins highlights uncertainty from potential cloud intrusions or late cold frontal timing. Key variables include jet stream positioning—favoring ridging for extremes—and soil moisture deficits amplifying heat; historical late-March averages hover near 57°F, with records exceeding 80°F feasible under clear skies. Traders eye 00Z model updates for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题