National Weather Service guidance for April 1 at Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 42-44°F under overcast skies, breezy northeast winds, and slight chances of showers, anchoring trader sentiment on 40-41°F (59.1% implied probability) and 42-43°F (30%) as frontrunners. A lingering cool air mass post-frontal passage, combined with persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation, suppresses diurnal heating well below the climatological normal of 53°F. Short-range forecast models reflect this consensus amid an active Midwest pattern. Automated observations will track afternoon peaks, with NOAA's finalized daily maximum resolving the market; minor clearing could nudge outcomes higher into the mid-40s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
40-41°F 47.8%
42-43°F 39%
44-45°F 9%
46-47°F 3.0%
$133,436 交易量
$133,436 交易量
40-41°F
48%
42-43°F
39%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
1%
40-41°F 47.8%
42-43°F 39%
44-45°F 9%
46-47°F 3.0%
$133,436 交易量
$133,436 交易量
40-41°F
48%
42-43°F
39%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance for April 1 at Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 42-44°F under overcast skies, breezy northeast winds, and slight chances of showers, anchoring trader sentiment on 40-41°F (59.1% implied probability) and 42-43°F (30%) as frontrunners. A lingering cool air mass post-frontal passage, combined with persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation, suppresses diurnal heating well below the climatological normal of 53°F. Short-range forecast models reflect this consensus amid an active Midwest pattern. Automated observations will track afternoon peaks, with NOAA's finalized daily maximum resolving the market; minor clearing could nudge outcomes higher into the mid-40s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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