Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations hinge on the European Central Bank's (ECB) ongoing monetary policy easing amid cooling inflation and softening labor markets. Latest Eurostat data revealed Q3 2024 quarter-on-quarter expansion of just 0.2%, matching forecasts but signaling stagnation risks in Germany, where output contracted 0.2%. Year-to-date, GDP has grown 0.7%, with services buoyed by 1.6% inflation in September versus the ECB's 2% target. ECB staff projections imply 1.1% annual growth for 2026, translating to roughly 0.3% quarterly in Q1, supported by recent 25-basis-point rate cuts to 3.50%. Traders watch October 30 Q4 flash GDP and December ECB meeting for shifts, as US election outcomes and energy volatility pose downside risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
Apr 30, 2026
<0.5%
20%
0.5-0.8%
37%
0.9-1.2%
47%
1.3-1.6%
39%
1.7-2.0%
32%
2.1-2.4%
35%
2.5%及以上
29%
$0.00 交易量
<0.5%
$0 交易量
20%
0.5-0.8%
$0 交易量
37%
0.9-1.2%
$0 交易量
47%
1.3-1.6%
$0 交易量
39%
1.7-2.0%
$0 交易量
32%
2.1-2.4%
$0 交易量
35%
2.5%及以上
$0 交易量
29%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations hinge on the European Central Bank's (ECB) ongoing monetary policy easing amid cooling inflation and softening labor markets. Latest Eurostat data revealed Q3 2024 quarter-on-quarter expansion of just 0.2%, matching forecasts but signaling stagnation risks in Germany, where output contracted 0.2%. Year-to-date, GDP has grown 0.7%, with services buoyed by 1.6% inflation in September versus the ECB's 2% target. ECB staff projections imply 1.1% annual growth for 2026, translating to roughly 0.3% quarterly in Q1, supported by recent 25-basis-point rate cuts to 3.50%. Traders watch October 30 Q4 flash GDP and December ECB meeting for shifts, as US election outcomes and energy volatility pose downside risks.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations hinge on the European Central Bank's (ECB) ongoing monetary policy easing amid cooling inflation and softening labor markets. Latest Eurostat data revealed Q3 2024 quarter-on-quarter expansion of just 0.2%, matching forecasts but signaling stagnation risks in Germany, where output contracted 0.2%. Year-to-date, GDP has grown 0.7%, with services buoyed by 1.6% inflation in September versus the ECB's 2% target. ECB staff projections imply 1.1% annual growth for 2026, translating to roughly 0.3% quarterly in Q1, supported by recent 25-basis-point rate cuts to 3.50%. Traders watch October 30 Q4 flash GDP and December ECB meeting for shifts, as US election outcomes and energy volatility pose downside risks.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth expectations hinge on the European Central Bank's (ECB) ongoing monetary policy easing amid cooling inflation and softening labor markets. Latest Eurostat data revealed Q3 2024 quarter-on-quarter expansion of just 0.2%, matching forecasts but signaling stagnation risks in Germany, where output contracted 0.2%. Year-to-date, GDP has grown 0.7%, with services buoyed by 1.6% inflation in September versus the ECB's 2% target. ECB staff projections imply 1.1% annual growth for 2026, translating to roughly 0.3% quarterly in Q1, supported by recent 25-basis-point rate cuts to 3.50%. Traders watch October 30 Q4 flash GDP and December ECB meeting for shifts, as US election outcomes and energy volatility pose downside risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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