Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL-07) faces an ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct, dating violence, and campaign finance violations, dating back to November 2025 with no final report issued as of mid-April 2026. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) over similar scandals last week revived bipartisan calls for Mills to step down or face expulsion, including from Rep. Nancy Mace and challenger Bale Dalton, alongside his chief of staff's abrupt departure. Mills has firmly rejected resignation demands, and Speaker Mike Johnson noted review of the probe without signaling imminent action. Traders price a 74% "No" probability of Mills exiting office by May 31, reflecting the Ethics Committee's slow process, the two-thirds House vote threshold for expulsion—historically rare—and GOP reluctance to cede seats in a narrow majority ahead of his August primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL-07) faces an ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct, dating violence, and campaign finance violations, dating back to November 2025 with no final report issued as of mid-April 2026. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) over similar scandals last week revived bipartisan calls for Mills to step down or face expulsion, including from Rep. Nancy Mace and challenger Bale Dalton, alongside his chief of staff's abrupt departure. Mills has firmly rejected resignation demands, and Speaker Mike Johnson noted review of the probe without signaling imminent action. Traders price a 74% "No" probability of Mills exiting office by May 31, reflecting the Ethics Committee's slow process, the two-thirds House vote threshold for expulsion—historically rare—and GOP reluctance to cede seats in a narrow majority ahead of his August primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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