Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 98.4% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation near 5.9% year-over-year in March—monthly CPI at 0.6%—and successive 50 basis point cuts to the current 15.00% level in February and March. This consensus draws from the Bank's 4.5–5.5% inflation forecast for 2026, softening household expectations to 12.9%, and early-year GDP contraction of 1.8% signaling need for monetary support despite prior price acceleration risks. Realistic challenges include renewed inflationary pressures from fiscal expansion or geopolitical tensions that could prompt a hold or hike, though current data favors continuation of the downtrend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于降低 98.4%
不变 1.4%
增加 <1%
$163,716 交易量
$163,716 交易量
2026-04-24
降低
98%
不变
1%
增加
<1%
降低 98.4%
不变 1.4%
增加 <1%
$163,716 交易量
$163,716 交易量
2026-04-24
降低
$58,492 交易量
98%
不变
$31,621 交易量
1%
增加
$73,603 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 98.4% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation near 5.9% year-over-year in March—monthly CPI at 0.6%—and successive 50 basis point cuts to the current 15.00% level in February and March. This consensus draws from the Bank's 4.5–5.5% inflation forecast for 2026, softening household expectations to 12.9%, and early-year GDP contraction of 1.8% signaling need for monetary support despite prior price acceleration risks. Realistic challenges include renewed inflationary pressures from fiscal expansion or geopolitical tensions that could prompt a hold or hike, though current data favors continuation of the downtrend.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$163,716结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 98.4% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation near 5.9% year-over-year in March—monthly CPI at 0.6%—and successive 50 basis point cuts to the current 15.00% level in February and March. This consensus draws from the Bank's 4.5–5.5% inflation forecast for 2026, softening household expectations to 12.9%, and early-year GDP contraction of 1.8% signaling need for monetary support despite prior price acceleration risks. Realistic challenges include renewed inflationary pressures from fiscal expansion or geopolitical tensions that could prompt a hold or hike, though current data favors continuation of the downtrend.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$163,716结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 98.4% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's easing cycle amid stabilizing inflation near 5.9% year-over-year in March—monthly CPI at 0.6%—and successive 50 basis point cuts to the current 15.00% level in February and March. This consensus draws from the Bank's 4.5–5.5% inflation forecast for 2026, softening household expectations to 12.9%, and early-year GDP contraction of 1.8% signaling need for monetary support despite prior price acceleration risks. Realistic challenges include renewed inflationary pressures from fiscal expansion or geopolitical tensions that could prompt a hold or hike, though current data favors continuation of the downtrend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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