Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high implied probability for Uber's Q1 2026 trips exceeding 3.6 billion—building on Q4 2025's 3.8 billion figure, which reflected 22% year-over-year growth—driven by cheaper ride promotions boosting volume, Expedia hotel bookings integration, and sustained travel demand amid favorable macroeconomic conditions. Gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, with street estimates at $52.9 billion (up 23% YoY), underpins expectations for revenue around $13.27 billion (15% growth) and adjusted EBITDA expansion. Key watchpoints include trip growth details versus Q1 2025's 3.0 billion baseline and forward guidance on robotaxi investments, with resolution tied to today's May 6 earnings release before market open.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,792 交易量
2026-05-06
3.2B
Yes
3.4B
Yes
3.6B
Yes
3.8B
No
4B
No
4.2B
No
4.4B
No
4.6B
No
4.8B
No
5B
No
$29,792 交易量
3.2B
$2,481 交易量
Yes
3.4B
$3,135 交易量
Yes
3.6B
$5,095 交易量
Yes
3.8B
$8,281 交易量
No
4B
$613 交易量
No
4.2B
$221 交易量
No
4.4B
$803 交易量
No
4.6B
$1,106 交易量
No
4.8B
$4,792 交易量
No
5B
$3,264 交易量
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high implied probability for Uber's Q1 2026 trips exceeding 3.6 billion—building on Q4 2025's 3.8 billion figure, which reflected 22% year-over-year growth—driven by cheaper ride promotions boosting volume, Expedia hotel bookings integration, and sustained travel demand amid favorable macroeconomic conditions. Gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, with street estimates at $52.9 billion (up 23% YoY), underpins expectations for revenue around $13.27 billion (15% growth) and adjusted EBITDA expansion. Key watchpoints include trip growth details versus Q1 2025's 3.0 billion baseline and forward guidance on robotaxi investments, with resolution tied to today's May 6 earnings release before market open.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
交易量
$29,792结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high implied probability for Uber's Q1 2026 trips exceeding 3.6 billion—building on Q4 2025's 3.8 billion figure, which reflected 22% year-over-year growth—driven by cheaper ride promotions boosting volume, Expedia hotel bookings integration, and sustained travel demand amid favorable macroeconomic conditions. Gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, with street estimates at $52.9 billion (up 23% YoY), underpins expectations for revenue around $13.27 billion (15% growth) and adjusted EBITDA expansion. Key watchpoints include trip growth details versus Q1 2025's 3.0 billion baseline and forward guidance on robotaxi investments, with resolution tied to today's May 6 earnings release before market open.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
交易量
$29,792结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high implied probability for Uber's Q1 2026 trips exceeding 3.6 billion—building on Q4 2025's 3.8 billion figure, which reflected 22% year-over-year growth—driven by cheaper ride promotions boosting volume, Expedia hotel bookings integration, and sustained travel demand amid favorable macroeconomic conditions. Gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, with street estimates at $52.9 billion (up 23% YoY), underpins expectations for revenue around $13.27 billion (15% growth) and adjusted EBITDA expansion. Key watchpoints include trip growth details versus Q1 2025's 3.0 billion baseline and forward guidance on robotaxi investments, with resolution tied to today's May 6 earnings release before market open.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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