Polymarket traders price a 70% implied probability for Alphabet to hold third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.31 trillion valuation—trailing Apple's $3.66 trillion but leading Microsoft's $2.65 trillion by a $660 billion buffer that deters challengers like Amazon or Saudi Aramco. Recent daily gains of +2.5% for Alphabet outpaced Apple's +1.6% and NVIDIA's +2.2%, widening gaps amid AI-fueled sentiment recovery from YTD declines. Apple's 25.5% odds reflect volatility precedents, including Alphabet's January overtake via Gemini integration hype. NVIDIA's low 1.6% probability signals conviction in its $4.07 trillion lead persisting through Q1 earnings catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Alphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 2.0%
Microsoft <1%
$672,921 交易量
$672,921 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
Alphabet
70%
Apple
26%
NVIDIA
2%
Microsoft
1%
Saudi Aramco
1%
Amazon
<1%
Oracle
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Alphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 2.0%
Microsoft <1%
$672,921 交易量
$672,921 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
Alphabet
$3,106 交易量
70%
Apple
$14,535 交易量
26%
NVIDIA
$607,946 交易量
2%
Microsoft
$1,082 交易量
1%
Saudi Aramco
$18,918 交易量
1%
Amazon
$1,189 交易量
<1%
Oracle
$24,077 交易量
<1%
Tesla
$2,068 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price a 70% implied probability for Alphabet to hold third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.31 trillion valuation—trailing Apple's $3.66 trillion but leading Microsoft's $2.65 trillion by a $660 billion buffer that deters challengers like Amazon or Saudi Aramco. Recent daily gains of +2.5% for Alphabet outpaced Apple's +1.6% and NVIDIA's +2.2%, widening gaps amid AI-fueled sentiment recovery from YTD declines. Apple's 25.5% odds reflect volatility precedents, including Alphabet's January overtake via Gemini integration hype. NVIDIA's low 1.6% probability signals conviction in its $4.07 trillion lead persisting through Q1 earnings catalysts.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
交易量
$672,921结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price a 70% implied probability for Alphabet to hold third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.31 trillion valuation—trailing Apple's $3.66 trillion but leading Microsoft's $2.65 trillion by a $660 billion buffer that deters challengers like Amazon or Saudi Aramco. Recent daily gains of +2.5% for Alphabet outpaced Apple's +1.6% and NVIDIA's +2.2%, widening gaps amid AI-fueled sentiment recovery from YTD declines. Apple's 25.5% odds reflect volatility precedents, including Alphabet's January overtake via Gemini integration hype. NVIDIA's low 1.6% probability signals conviction in its $4.07 trillion lead persisting through Q1 earnings catalysts.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$672,921结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 70% implied probability for Alphabet to hold third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.31 trillion valuation—trailing Apple's $3.66 trillion but leading Microsoft's $2.65 trillion by a $660 billion buffer that deters challengers like Amazon or Saudi Aramco. Recent daily gains of +2.5% for Alphabet outpaced Apple's +1.6% and NVIDIA's +2.2%, widening gaps amid AI-fueled sentiment recovery from YTD declines. Apple's 25.5% odds reflect volatility precedents, including Alphabet's January overtake via Gemini integration hype. NVIDIA's low 1.6% probability signals conviction in its $4.07 trillion lead persisting through Q1 earnings catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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