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退出民意調查 預測與賠率

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

13%

December 31

$40M 交易量

$392K today

$1M Liq.

1,266

Ends 8 個月內

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$754K 交易量

$11.6K Liq.

15

Ends 5 個月前

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

47%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K 交易量

$52.9K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

54%

Likud

$2.8K 交易量

$18.2K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$97.1K 交易量

$40.2K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 1 個月前

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

29%

76-78%

$82 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K 交易量

$15.0K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

100%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$522K 交易量

$93.3K Liq.

10

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K 交易量

$78.7K Liq.

10

Ends 5 個月內

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

32%

$92.8K 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

42%

53-56%

$564 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K 交易量

$20.0K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

28%

JV

$79.2K 交易量

$103K Liq.

6

Ends 5 個月內

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

48%

Labour 0-5%

$0 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M 交易量

$94.1K Liq.

8

Ends 4 個月內

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

40%

Labour

$44 交易量

$87 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

23%

Paxton 6–9%

$59.3K 交易量

$74.0K Liq.

1

Ends 8 天內

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

8%

December 31

$5M 交易量

$83.8K Liq.

70

Ends 8 個月內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 退出民意調查.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 退出民意調查 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $47.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 退出民意調查 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.