Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

10%

December 31

$691K 交易量

$136K today

$324K Liq.

12

Ends 9 個月內

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$644K 交易量

$136K Liq.

24

Ends 9 個月內

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$740K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

13

Ends 3 個月前

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

$207K 交易量

$69.9K Liq.

8

Ends 6 個月內

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

42%

FP

$14.6K 交易量

$35.5K Liq.

3

Ends 8 天內

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

11%

$7.9K 交易量

$18.6K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

46%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$8.8K 交易量

$84.0K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

45%

59-60%

$307K 交易量

$29.4K Liq.

57

Ends 3 個月前

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

60%

70-75%

$2.9K 交易量

$34.7K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

34%

71–74%

$103K 交易量

$59.6K Liq.

1

Ends 8 天內

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

21%

Paxton 9%+

$44.6K 交易量

$80.9K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

45%

PB 5-10%

$20.7K 交易量

$24.4K Liq.

Ends 15 天內

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

94%

PB

$91.5K 交易量

$73.8K Liq.

4

Ends 15 天內

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

47%

55-60%

$2M 交易量

$22.0K Liq.

363

Ends 4 個月前

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

44%

FP

$31.9K 交易量

$61.3K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

30%

40-44%

$37.9K 交易量

$61.2K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

38%

Tisza <9%

$6.9K 交易量

$57.6K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

28%

Édouard Philippe

$29M 交易量

$2M today

$3M Liq.

376

Ends 大約 1 年內

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

94%

BJP

$11.8K 交易量

$55.5K Liq.

1

Ends 5 天內

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

40%

Tisza 9%+

$1M 交易量

$171K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 退出民意調查.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 退出民意調查 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will US withdraw from NATO by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $35.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to Édouard Philippe. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 退出民意調查 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.