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退出民意調查 預測與賠率

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

14%

December 31

$51M 交易量

$569K today

$3M Liq.

1,518

Ends 7 個月內

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$785K 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

14

Ends 5 個月前

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

97%

Fujimori 0–4%

$975K 交易量

$62.8K today

$322K Liq.

24

Ends 4 天前

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

81%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$631K 交易量

$523K today

$415K Liq.

14

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

42%

Likud

$15.4K 交易量

$73.0K Liq.

2

Ends 5 個月內

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$102K 交易量

$44.4K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 2 個月前

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

28%

76-78%

$608 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

42%

Burnham 9%+

$21.2K 交易量

$95.8K Liq.

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

2%

$42.6K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

3

Ends 19 天內

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

26%

$105K 交易量

$12.8K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

36%

Lula da Silva <5%

$239K 交易量

$99.8K Liq.

14

Ends 4 個月內

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$192K 交易量

$41.7K Liq.

6

Ends 23 天前

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

45%

50-53%

$574 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?

97%

70–75%

$70.7K 交易量

$33.0K Liq.

3

Ends 4 天前

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

74%

Not revealed in 2026

$14.0K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

5

Ends 7 個月內

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

32%

PRO

$84.7K 交易量

$76.4K Liq.

6

Ends 4 個月內

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

77%

Labour 15%+

$627 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

7%

December 31

$6M 交易量

$166K Liq.

70

Ends 7 個月內

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M 交易量

$222K Liq.

9

Ends 3 個月內

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

46%

Labour

$93 交易量

$151 Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 退出民意調查.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 退出民意調查 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $61.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 退出民意調查 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.