Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the party securing the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated Senate, set for election on April 12 amid the general vote, with Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5%, Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 30.0%, and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24.0%. Recent polls from IEP (March 18), Datum (March 22), and Ipsos (late March) show these parties clustered in the 11-14% range for national vote share under proportional representation, alongside nearly 50% undecided voters and a fragmented field of over 15 parties unlikely to pass the electoral threshold. Persistent concerns over rising crime, political instability, and economic woes keep right-leaning FP and RP competitive against center-left JP, with no dominant coalition emerging. Separation could arise from the final presidential debate spillover, regional turnout shifts, or late-breaking endorsements before the first-round ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於人民力量 42%
RP 30%
JP 29.9%
進步聯盟（APP） 5.0%
$14,642 交易量
$14,642 交易量
2026-04-12
人民力量
31%
RP
24%
JP
30%
進步聯盟（APP）
7%
AvP
1%
SP
1%
PL
1%
PP
<1%
AP
<1%
人民力量 42%
RP 30%
JP 29.9%
進步聯盟（APP） 5.0%
$14,642 交易量
$14,642 交易量
2026-04-12
人民力量
$968 交易量
31%
RP
$1,001 交易量
24%
JP
$8,028 交易量
30%
進步聯盟（APP）
$1,253 交易量
7%
AvP
$1,076 交易量
1%
SP
$517 交易量
1%
PL
$518 交易量
1%
PP
$739 交易量
<1%
AP
$542 交易量
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the party securing the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated Senate, set for election on April 12 amid the general vote, with Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5%, Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 30.0%, and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24.0%. Recent polls from IEP (March 18), Datum (March 22), and Ipsos (late March) show these parties clustered in the 11-14% range for national vote share under proportional representation, alongside nearly 50% undecided voters and a fragmented field of over 15 parties unlikely to pass the electoral threshold. Persistent concerns over rising crime, political instability, and economic woes keep right-leaning FP and RP competitive against center-left JP, with no dominant coalition emerging. Separation could arise from the final presidential debate spillover, regional turnout shifts, or late-breaking endorsements before the first-round ballot.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
交易量
$14,642結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the party securing the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated Senate, set for election on April 12 amid the general vote, with Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5%, Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 30.0%, and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24.0%. Recent polls from IEP (March 18), Datum (March 22), and Ipsos (late March) show these parties clustered in the 11-14% range for national vote share under proportional representation, alongside nearly 50% undecided voters and a fragmented field of over 15 parties unlikely to pass the electoral threshold. Persistent concerns over rising crime, political instability, and economic woes keep right-leaning FP and RP competitive against center-left JP, with no dominant coalition emerging. Separation could arise from the final presidential debate spillover, regional turnout shifts, or late-breaking endorsements before the first-round ballot.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$14,642結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the party securing the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated Senate, set for election on April 12 amid the general vote, with Fuerza Popular (FP) at 30.5%, Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 30.0%, and Renovación Popular (RP) at 24.0%. Recent polls from IEP (March 18), Datum (March 22), and Ipsos (late March) show these parties clustered in the 11-14% range for national vote share under proportional representation, alongside nearly 50% undecided voters and a fragmented field of over 15 parties unlikely to pass the electoral threshold. Persistent concerns over rising crime, political instability, and economic woes keep right-leaning FP and RP competitive against center-left JP, with no dominant coalition emerging. Separation could arise from the final presidential debate spillover, regional turnout shifts, or late-breaking endorsements before the first-round ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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