Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nirav Shah at 38% implied probability to win Maine's June 9 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting consistent polling leads—including 25% in a February UNH survey and 31-35% in campaign-sponsored polls—bolstered by his background as former Maine CDC director amid health policy priorities, endorsements from dozens of health leaders, and recent momentum from a Biddeford town hall. Hannah Pingree follows at 25.5%, gaining on name recognition as former U.S. Representative and recent Pan Atlantic poll support (18%). Troy Jackson holds 16%, aligning with his state Senate Majority Leader role and progressive appeal shown in polls. Shenna Bellows slips to 10.2%, while the crowded ranked-choice voting field leaves room for shifts via undecideds, fundraising, and debates ahead of the open-seat contest replacing term-limited Gov. Janet Mills.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Nirav Shah 38%
漢娜·平格里 26%
特洛伊·傑克森 16%
雪娜·貝洛斯 9.8%
$45,271 交易量
$45,271 交易量
Nirav Shah
38%
漢娜·平格里
26%
特洛伊·傑克森
16%
雪娜·貝洛斯
10%
安格斯·金三世
4%
傑森·切里
<1%
肯尼斯·皮內特
<1%
Nirav Shah 38%
漢娜·平格里 26%
特洛伊·傑克森 16%
雪娜·貝洛斯 9.8%
$45,271 交易量
$45,271 交易量
Nirav Shah
38%
漢娜·平格里
26%
特洛伊·傑克森
16%
雪娜·貝洛斯
10%
安格斯·金三世
4%
傑森·切里
<1%
肯尼斯·皮內特
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nirav Shah at 38% implied probability to win Maine's June 9 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting consistent polling leads—including 25% in a February UNH survey and 31-35% in campaign-sponsored polls—bolstered by his background as former Maine CDC director amid health policy priorities, endorsements from dozens of health leaders, and recent momentum from a Biddeford town hall. Hannah Pingree follows at 25.5%, gaining on name recognition as former U.S. Representative and recent Pan Atlantic poll support (18%). Troy Jackson holds 16%, aligning with his state Senate Majority Leader role and progressive appeal shown in polls. Shenna Bellows slips to 10.2%, while the crowded ranked-choice voting field leaves room for shifts via undecideds, fundraising, and debates ahead of the open-seat contest replacing term-limited Gov. Janet Mills.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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