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政治·主要

緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Nirav Shah 39%

漢娜·平格里 26%

特洛伊·傑克森 16%

雪娜·貝洛斯 9.8%

Polymarket

$45,271 交易量

Nirav Shah 39%

漢娜·平格里 26%

特洛伊·傑克森 16%

雪娜·貝洛斯 9.8%

Polymarket

$45,271 交易量

Nirav Shah

$5,264 交易量

39%

漢娜·平格里

$4,215 交易量

26%

特洛伊·傑克森

$5,582 交易量

16%

雪娜·貝洛斯

$4,178 交易量

10%

安格斯·金三世

$3,905 交易量

4%

傑森·切里

$19,004 交易量

<1%

肯尼斯·皮內特

$3,122 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nirav Shah as the Democratic primary frontrunner for Maine governor at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent leads in February and March polls—such as UNH's 25% and a Pan Atlantic survey tying him at 24% with Angus King III—buoyed by name recognition from directing Maine's CDC during COVID and endorsements from dozens of health care leaders. Hannah Pingree trails at 25.5%, gaining from her February petition submission securing ballot access and prior House speaker experience. Troy Jackson holds 16%, matching polling averages amid his Senate majority leader profile, while Shenna Bellows slips to 10.2%. A late March revelation that Shah voted in Georgia in 2024 sparked residency questions under Maine's five-year requirement, but he maintains eligibility; upcoming forums ahead of the June 9 primary could tip this fragmented field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$45,271
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nirav Shah as the Democratic primary frontrunner for Maine governor at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent leads in February and March polls—such as UNH's 25% and a Pan Atlantic survey tying him at 24% with Angus King III—buoyed by name recognition from directing Maine's CDC during COVID and endorsements from dozens of health care leaders. Hannah Pingree trails at 25.5%, gaining from her February petition submission securing ballot access and prior House speaker experience. Troy Jackson holds 16%, matching polling averages amid his Senate majority leader profile, while Shenna Bellows slips to 10.2%. A late March revelation that Shah voted in Georgia in 2024 sparked residency questions under Maine's five-year requirement, but he maintains eligibility; upcoming forums ahead of the June 9 primary could tip this fragmented field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$45,271
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, followed by "漢娜·平格里" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $45.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "漢娜·平格里" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.