Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life sentence with hard labor from the Seoul Central District Court for masterminding an insurrection via his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" odds, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged detention amid appeals. The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025, triggering a snap presidential election won by Lee Jae-myung, leaving Yoon without political leverage. Recent April 2026 reports confirm eight months of custody, with Yoon receiving inmate funds and facing additional trials, including those involving his wife. While appeals to higher courts or a potential pardon could theoretically shift outcomes, historical patterns for such grave charges suggest extended imprisonment barring extraordinary intervention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life sentence with hard labor from the Seoul Central District Court for masterminding an insurrection via his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" odds, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged detention amid appeals. The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025, triggering a snap presidential election won by Lee Jae-myung, leaving Yoon without political leverage. Recent April 2026 reports confirm eight months of custody, with Yoon receiving inmate funds and facing additional trials, including those involving his wife. While appeals to higher courts or a potential pardon could theoretically shift outcomes, historical patterns for such grave charges suggest extended imprisonment barring extraordinary intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,341結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life sentence with hard labor from the Seoul Central District Court for masterminding an insurrection via his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" odds, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged detention amid appeals. The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025, triggering a snap presidential election won by Lee Jae-myung, leaving Yoon without political leverage. Recent April 2026 reports confirm eight months of custody, with Yoon receiving inmate funds and facing additional trials, including those involving his wife. While appeals to higher courts or a potential pardon could theoretically shift outcomes, historical patterns for such grave charges suggest extended imprisonment barring extraordinary intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,341結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life sentence with hard labor from the Seoul Central District Court for masterminding an insurrection via his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" odds, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged detention amid appeals. The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025, triggering a snap presidential election won by Lee Jae-myung, leaving Yoon without political leverage. Recent April 2026 reports confirm eight months of custody, with Yoon receiving inmate funds and facing additional trials, including those involving his wife. While appeals to higher courts or a potential pardon could theoretically shift outcomes, historical patterns for such grave charges suggest extended imprisonment barring extraordinary intervention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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