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世界·俄羅斯

俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？

Market icon
世界·俄羅斯

俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？

12月 31

12月 31

是

8% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

8% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91.9% implied probability against Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the ongoing war in Ukraine now entering its fifth year and unwavering G7 sanctions policy. Recent G7 Foreign Ministers' meetings on March 26-27, 2026, in Vaux-de-Cernay issued joint statements condemning Russian aggression and calling for cessation of civilian attacks, with no discussion of reinstatement. February 24, 2026, G7 leaders' anniversary statement reaffirmed support for Ukraine while endorsing negotiations, but leaders like Germany's Friedrich Merz and EU's Kaja Kallas rejected prior 2025 U.S.-floated G8 revival ideas tied to peace deals. Putin's dismissal of G7 relevance and consensus-based G7 membership requirements pose formidable barriers, absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.

A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$8,557
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91.9% implied probability against Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the ongoing war in Ukraine now entering its fifth year and unwavering G7 sanctions policy. Recent G7 Foreign Ministers' meetings on March 26-27, 2026, in Vaux-de-Cernay issued joint statements condemning Russian aggression and calling for cessation of civilian attacks, with no discussion of reinstatement. February 24, 2026, G7 leaders' anniversary statement reaffirmed support for Ukraine while endorsing negotiations, but leaders like Germany's Friedrich Merz and EU's Kaja Kallas rejected prior 2025 U.S.-floated G8 revival ideas tied to peace deals. Putin's dismissal of G7 relevance and consensus-based G7 membership requirements pose formidable barriers, absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.

A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$8,557
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "俄羅斯會在2027年前重新加入七國集團（G7）嗎？" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" is "俄羅斯會在2027年前重新加入七國集團（G7）嗎？" at just 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.