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政治·美國大選

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Market icon
政治·美國大選

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$11,663,215 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$11,663,215 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$11,663,215
結束日期
Jul 31, 2024
市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2024, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$11,663,215
結束日期
Jul 31, 2024
市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2024, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?" has generated $11.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 28, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.