Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 66% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, propelled by Trump's March 27 announcement extending a pause on strikes against Iranian energy plants until April 6 amid reports of U.S.-Iran backchannel diplomacy and Tehran's missile activity. Elevated odds for UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%), NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (56%), French President Emmanuel Macron (55%), Russian President Vladimir Putin (54%), and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (53%) reflect anticipated alliance talks on NATO funding, Ukraine aid, and European security ahead of spring summits. No April schedule confirmed; White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25 and King Charles' state visit late April could influence diplomacy. Markets resolve via credible reporting by April 30.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Keir Starmer
65%

Mark Rutte
64%

Emmanuel Macron
62%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
56%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
53%

Ursula von der Leyen
53%

埃隆·馬斯克
50%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Masoud Pezeshkian
21%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Kim Jong Un
6%

Reza Pahlavi
23%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
$9,180 交易量

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Keir Starmer
65%

Mark Rutte
64%

Emmanuel Macron
62%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
56%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
53%

Ursula von der Leyen
53%

埃隆·馬斯克
50%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Masoud Pezeshkian
21%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Kim Jong Un
6%

Reza Pahlavi
23%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 66% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, propelled by Trump's March 27 announcement extending a pause on strikes against Iranian energy plants until April 6 amid reports of U.S.-Iran backchannel diplomacy and Tehran's missile activity. Elevated odds for UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%), NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (56%), French President Emmanuel Macron (55%), Russian President Vladimir Putin (54%), and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (53%) reflect anticipated alliance talks on NATO funding, Ukraine aid, and European security ahead of spring summits. No April schedule confirmed; White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25 and King Charles' state visit late April could influence diplomacy. Markets resolve via credible reporting by April 30.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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