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政治·勞工部門

Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

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政治·勞工部門

Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

$8,484 交易量

Dec 30, 2023
Polymarket

$8,484 交易量

Polymarket
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Julie Su

$7,558 交易量

No

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Andy Levin

$54 交易量

No

Market icon

Tim Ryan

$174 交易量

No

Market icon

Sean Patrick Maloney

$698 交易量

No

The incumbent U.S. Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deputy Secretary of Labor Julie Su is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Andy Levin is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Timothy Ryan is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Sean Patrick Maloney is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The incumbent U.S. Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deputy Secretary of Labor Julie Su is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Andy Levin is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Timothy Ryan is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Sean Patrick Maloney is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julie Su" at 0%, followed by "Andy Levin" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 13, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?" is "Julie Su" at just 0%, with "Andy Levin" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.