Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia at 69.5% to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance as the ruling party with institutional advantages, centralized leadership under Dmitry Medvedev, and nominations of war veterans via party lists and single-member districts. Recent WCIOM and VTsIOM polls from mid-March show United Russia leading at 29-41% amid softening support linked to rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin propaganda adjustments. New People's surge to second place at 10-13% in these pro-government surveys—up from prior months—drives its 21.7% odds as a rising systemic opposition, though barriers like the 5% proportional threshold and regional challenges limit upsets. LDPR and KPRF trail at 9-11%, with United Russia primaries underway through April signaling preparations for competitive single-member races in up to 30 regions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於統一俄羅斯黨（ER） 70%
新人民黨（NL） 21.7%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） 5.8%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,397,913 交易量
$4,397,913 交易量
Sep 30, 2026
統一俄羅斯黨（ER）
70%
新人民黨（NL）
22%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
6%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
1%
正義俄羅斯—為真理（SRZP）
1%
祖國黨
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
統一俄羅斯黨（ER） 70%
新人民黨（NL） 21.7%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） 5.8%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,397,913 交易量
$4,397,913 交易量
Sep 30, 2026
統一俄羅斯黨（ER）
$1,220,393 交易量
70%
新人民黨（NL）
$276,815 交易量
22%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
$2,034,163 交易量
6%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
$254,632 交易量
1%
正義俄羅斯—為真理（SRZP）
$226,558 交易量
1%
祖國黨
$195,953 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$189,404 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia at 69.5% to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance as the ruling party with institutional advantages, centralized leadership under Dmitry Medvedev, and nominations of war veterans via party lists and single-member districts. Recent WCIOM and VTsIOM polls from mid-March show United Russia leading at 29-41% amid softening support linked to rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin propaganda adjustments. New People's surge to second place at 10-13% in these pro-government surveys—up from prior months—drives its 21.7% odds as a rising systemic opposition, though barriers like the 5% proportional threshold and regional challenges limit upsets. LDPR and KPRF trail at 9-11%, with United Russia primaries underway through April signaling preparations for competitive single-member races in up to 30 regions.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$4,397,913結束日期
Sep 20, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia at 69.5% to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance as the ruling party with institutional advantages, centralized leadership under Dmitry Medvedev, and nominations of war veterans via party lists and single-member districts. Recent WCIOM and VTsIOM polls from mid-March show United Russia leading at 29-41% amid softening support linked to rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin propaganda adjustments. New People's surge to second place at 10-13% in these pro-government surveys—up from prior months—drives its 21.7% odds as a rising systemic opposition, though barriers like the 5% proportional threshold and regional challenges limit upsets. LDPR and KPRF trail at 9-11%, with United Russia primaries underway through April signaling preparations for competitive single-member races in up to 30 regions.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$4,397,913結束日期
Sep 20, 2026市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia at 69.5% to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched dominance as the ruling party with institutional advantages, centralized leadership under Dmitry Medvedev, and nominations of war veterans via party lists and single-member districts. Recent WCIOM and VTsIOM polls from mid-March show United Russia leading at 29-41% amid softening support linked to rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin propaganda adjustments. New People's surge to second place at 10-13% in these pro-government surveys—up from prior months—drives its 21.7% odds as a rising systemic opposition, though barriers like the 5% proportional threshold and regional challenges limit upsets. LDPR and KPRF trail at 9-11%, with United Russia primaries underway through April signaling preparations for competitive single-member races in up to 30 regions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions