Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty around SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO ticker, with "Other" at 58.5% implied probability amid rumors of a merger with Elon Musk's xAI, potentially yielding unlisted symbols like $SXAI. The $X outcome holds strong at 34.5%, fueled by the recent delisting of U.S. Steel—freeing the single-letter ticker—and Musk's affinity for the "X" branding across X platform, xAI, and SpaceX ventures. Fresh reports of an imminent IPO filing as early as this week, targeting $1.75 trillion valuation with 30% retail allocation, have spurred $15 million in wagers and social media frenzy, though no official ticker confirmation exists. Watch for regulatory filings or Musk announcements that could shift odds rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於其他 58.5%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.0%
$SX 1.4%
$3,779,254 交易量
$3,779,254 交易量
Dec 31, 2027
其他
58%
$X
35%
$SEX
2%
$SX
1%
$SPAX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
其他 58.5%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.0%
$SX 1.4%
$3,779,254 交易量
$3,779,254 交易量
Dec 31, 2027
其他
$58,106 交易量
58%
$X
$383,352 交易量
35%
$SEX
$1,213,423 交易量
2%
$SX
$230,463 交易量
1%
$SPAX
$246,120 交易量
1%
$SPACE
$402,851 交易量
1%
$STAR
$710,950 交易量
1%
$MARS
$147,883 交易量
<1%
$SPC
$386,105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty around SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO ticker, with "Other" at 58.5% implied probability amid rumors of a merger with Elon Musk's xAI, potentially yielding unlisted symbols like $SXAI. The $X outcome holds strong at 34.5%, fueled by the recent delisting of U.S. Steel—freeing the single-letter ticker—and Musk's affinity for the "X" branding across X platform, xAI, and SpaceX ventures. Fresh reports of an imminent IPO filing as early as this week, targeting $1.75 trillion valuation with 30% retail allocation, have spurred $15 million in wagers and social media frenzy, though no official ticker confirmation exists. Watch for regulatory filings or Musk announcements that could shift odds rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
交易量
$3,779,254結束日期
Dec 31, 2027市場開放時間
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty around SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO ticker, with "Other" at 58.5% implied probability amid rumors of a merger with Elon Musk's xAI, potentially yielding unlisted symbols like $SXAI. The $X outcome holds strong at 34.5%, fueled by the recent delisting of U.S. Steel—freeing the single-letter ticker—and Musk's affinity for the "X" branding across X platform, xAI, and SpaceX ventures. Fresh reports of an imminent IPO filing as early as this week, targeting $1.75 trillion valuation with 30% retail allocation, have spurred $15 million in wagers and social media frenzy, though no official ticker confirmation exists. Watch for regulatory filings or Musk announcements that could shift odds rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$3,779,254結束日期
Dec 31, 2027市場開放時間
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty around SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO ticker, with "Other" at 58.5% implied probability amid rumors of a merger with Elon Musk's xAI, potentially yielding unlisted symbols like $SXAI. The $X outcome holds strong at 34.5%, fueled by the recent delisting of U.S. Steel—freeing the single-letter ticker—and Musk's affinity for the "X" branding across X platform, xAI, and SpaceX ventures. Fresh reports of an imminent IPO filing as early as this week, targeting $1.75 trillion valuation with 30% retail allocation, have spurred $15 million in wagers and social media frenzy, though no official ticker confirmation exists. Watch for regulatory filings or Musk announcements that could shift odds rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions