In Slovenia's parliamentary election on March 22, incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory over Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), capturing the largest share of votes in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation amid high turnout. Near-final results with over 99% of ballots counted confirmed GS's lead, prompting Golob to claim victory and traders to price GS at 100% as the consensus winner, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on official tallies. While coalition negotiations loom to form a majority government, scenarios like a formal recount, legal challenges, or unprecedented reversals in remaining votes could theoretically shift outcomes, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the procedural stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於自由運動(GS) 100.0%
斯洛維尼亞民主黨(SDS) <1%
社會民主黨(SD) <1%
民主黨(D) <1%
$4,689,933 交易量
$4,689,933 交易量

斯洛維尼亞民主黨(SDS)
否

自由運動(GS)
是

社會民主黨(SD)
否

民主黨(D)
否

新斯洛維尼亞–基督教民主黨(NSi)
否

左翼(Levica)
否

Resni.ca(Res)
否

米,社會主義者!(米!)
否

維斯納-綠黨(Vesna)
否

斯洛維尼亞民族黨(SNS)
否

斯洛維尼亞海盜黨(PPS)
否

斯洛維尼亞人民黨(SLS)
否

世代黨(SG)
否

我們的國家(ND)
否

普雷羅德(PVP)
否
自由運動(GS) 100.0%
斯洛維尼亞民主黨(SDS) <1%
社會民主黨(SD) <1%
民主黨(D) <1%
$4,689,933 交易量
$4,689,933 交易量

斯洛維尼亞民主黨(SDS)
否

自由運動(GS)
是

社會民主黨(SD)
否

民主黨(D)
否

新斯洛維尼亞–基督教民主黨(NSi)
否

左翼(Levica)
否

Resni.ca(Res)
否

米,社會主義者!(米!)
否

維斯納-綠黨(Vesna)
否

斯洛維尼亞民族黨(SNS)
否

斯洛維尼亞海盜黨(PPS)
否

斯洛維尼亞人民黨(SLS)
否

世代黨(SG)
否

我們的國家(ND)
否

普雷羅德(PVP)
否
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
In Slovenia's parliamentary election on March 22, incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory over Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), capturing the largest share of votes in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation amid high turnout. Near-final results with over 99% of ballots counted confirmed GS's lead, prompting Golob to claim victory and traders to price GS at 100% as the consensus winner, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on official tallies. While coalition negotiations loom to form a majority government, scenarios like a formal recount, legal challenges, or unprecedented reversals in remaining votes could theoretically shift outcomes, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the procedural stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions