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選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 18.1%

加文·紐森 17.3%

馬可·魯比歐 10.5%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.8%

Polymarket

$463,681,685 交易量

JD Vance 18.1%

加文·紐森 17.3%

馬可·魯比歐 10.5%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.8%

Polymarket

$463,681,685 交易量

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JD Vance

$9,028,410 交易量

18%

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加文·紐森

$6,608,290 交易量

17%

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馬可·魯比歐

$5,216,842 交易量

11%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,202,352 交易量

5%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$2,862,939 交易量

3%

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塔克·卡爾森

$8,897,667 交易量

3%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,399,937 交易量

3%

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喬希·夏皮羅

$5,280,865 交易量

2%

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唐納德·川普

$6,349,005 交易量

2%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,430,386 交易量

2%

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JB Pritzker

$8,791,456 交易量

2%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,718,410 交易量

2%

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德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,527,064 交易量

1%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,685,853 交易量

1%

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安迪·貝希爾

$14,862,694 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·川普

$3,926,760 交易量

1%

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傑米·戴蒙

$6,994,383 交易量

1%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,137,317 交易量

1%

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埃隆·馬斯克

$21,589,836 交易量

1%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,366,353 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,227,177 交易量

1%

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韋斯·摩爾

$5,477,763 交易量

1%

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唐納德·川普二世

$8,277,292 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$20,684,967 交易量

1%

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羅·卡納

$5,370,489 交易量

1%

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托馬斯·馬西

$3,213,699 交易量

1%

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圖西·加巴德

$27,022,765 交易量

1%

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提姆·沃茲

$38,223,729 交易量

1%

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格倫·揚金

$19,562,792 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·史密斯

$27,972,641 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$28,613,590 交易量

1%

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祖蘭·曼達尼

$15,933,669 交易量

1%

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埃里克·川普

$4,639,140 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$28,302,117 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$41,915,542 交易量

<1%

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彼特·赫格塞斯

$1,374,446 交易量

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 18.1%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration and strong Republican polling leads like JL Partners' 53% favorability among GOP voters. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, buoyed by recent early polls showing him topping California Democrats and his high-profile clashes with Trump policies. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits third at 10.5% amid a donor-driven "Draft Rubio" buzz and his elevated foreign policy role in recent Venezuela and Iran developments. The race remains tightly contested due to the 2026 midterms' looming impact on party control and candidate viability, with no primaries underway and fragmented fields on both sides; separation could emerge from midterm results, Trump's endorsements, or administration successes in key issues like the economy and border security.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 18.1%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration and strong Republican polling leads like JL Partners' 53% favorability among GOP voters. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, buoyed by recent early polls showing him topping California Democrats and his high-profile clashes with Trump policies. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits third at 10.5% amid a donor-driven "Draft Rubio" buzz and his elevated foreign policy role in recent Venezuela and Iran developments. The race remains tightly contested due to the 2026 midterms' looming impact on party control and candidate viability, with no primaries underway and fragmented fields on both sides; separation could emerge from midterm results, Trump's endorsements, or administration successes in key issues like the economy and border security.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 18.1%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration and strong Republican polling leads like JL Partners' 53% favorability among GOP voters. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, buoyed by recent early polls showing him topping California Democrats and his high-profile clashes with Trump policies. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits third at 10.5% amid a donor-driven "Draft Rubio" buzz and his elevated foreign policy role in recent Venezuela and Iran developments. The race remains tightly contested due to the 2026 midterms' looming impact on party control and candidate viability, with no primaries underway and fragmented fields on both sides; separation could emerge from midterm results, Trump's endorsements, or administration successes in key issues like the economy and border security.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 18.1%, reflecting his position as heir apparent in the Trump administration and strong Republican polling leads like JL Partners' 53% favorability among GOP voters. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.3%, buoyed by recent early polls showing him topping California Democrats and his high-profile clashes with Trump policies. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits third at 10.5% amid a donor-driven "Draft Rubio" buzz and his elevated foreign policy role in recent Venezuela and Iran developments. The race remains tightly contested due to the 2026 midterms' looming impact on party control and candidate viability, with no primaries underway and fragmented fields on both sides; separation could emerge from midterm results, Trump's endorsements, or administration successes in key issues like the economy and border security.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $463.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.