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選舉·市長選舉

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

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選舉·市長選舉

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

Catherine Trautmann 49%

珍妮·巴賽基安 40%

Jean-Philippe Veter 12%

Polymarket

$8,297 交易量

Catherine Trautmann 49%

珍妮·巴賽基安 40%

Jean-Philippe Veter 12%

Polymarket

$8,297 交易量

Market icon

Catherine Trautmann

$2,253 交易量

49%

Market icon

珍妮·巴賽基安

$4,170 交易量

37%

Market icon

Jean-Philippe Veter

$1,874 交易量

12%

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$8,297
結束日期
Mar 22, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Trader consensus gives Catherine Trautmann a 48.5% implied probability of winning the Strasbourg mayoral election, edging incumbent Jeanne Barseghian at 41%, with Jean-Philippe Vetter at 11%, reflecting tight polls amid fragmented left-of-center support. Recent surveys show Trautmann's Socialist credentials gaining from Barseghian's coalition strains and voter concerns over urban management, but undecideds and low turnout risks keep it neck-and-neck ahead of the 2026 first-round vote. Dynamics hinge on potential alliances or runoffs; separation could emerge from candidate debates, national election spillovers, or endorsements shifting voter blocs in this key Alsatian contest.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Catherine Trautmann" at 49%, followed by "珍妮·巴賽基安" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" is "Catherine Trautmann" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "珍妮·巴賽基安" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.