Market icon
世界·法院

Park Sung-jae在3月31日之前入獄？

Market icon
世界·法院

Park Sung-jae在3月31日之前入獄？

是

<1% chance
Polymarket

$28,389 交易量

是

<1% chance
Polymarket

$28,389 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former National Intelligence Service (NIS) director Park Sung-jae remains free amid ongoing investigations into his role in President Yoon Suk Yeol's short-lived December 3, 2024, martial law declaration, which prosecutors have probed but not escalated to detention. No arrest warrant or indictment has materialized in the past month, despite summons for questioning, reflecting procedural delays common in South Korea's judicial system where pre-trial detention requires strong evidence of flight risk or evidence tampering. Trader consensus at 99.3% "No" embodies confidence in these hurdles persisting through March 31, 2025, amid Yoon's own impeachment proceedings diverting focus. Late-breaking developments like a surprise warrant, new witness testimony, or political pressure could still prompt detention, though historical patterns in similar high-profile probes suggest low likelihood.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,389
結束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市場開放時間
Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former National Intelligence Service (NIS) director Park Sung-jae remains free amid ongoing investigations into his role in President Yoon Suk Yeol's short-lived December 3, 2024, martial law declaration, which prosecutors have probed but not escalated to detention. No arrest warrant or indictment has materialized in the past month, despite summons for questioning, reflecting procedural delays common in South Korea's judicial system where pre-trial detention requires strong evidence of flight risk or evidence tampering. Trader consensus at 99.3% "No" embodies confidence in these hurdles persisting through March 31, 2025, amid Yoon's own impeachment proceedings diverting focus. Late-breaking developments like a surprise warrant, new witness testimony, or political pressure could still prompt detention, though historical patterns in similar high-profile probes suggest low likelihood.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,389
結束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市場開放時間
Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Park Sung-jae在3月31日之前入獄？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "樸成宰會在3月31日前坐牢嗎？" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Park Sung-jae在3月31日之前入獄？" has generated $28.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Park Sung-jae在3月31日之前入獄？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Park Sung-jae在3月31日之前入獄？" is "樸成宰會在3月31日前坐牢嗎？" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Park Sung-jae在3月31日之前入獄？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.