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政治·主要

MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者

Dan Koh 76%

瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特 9.8%

Seth Moulton 9.5%

凱文·拉里維 5.2%

Polymarket

$10,090 交易量

Dan Koh 76%

瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特 9.8%

Seth Moulton 9.5%

凱文·拉里維 5.2%

Polymarket

$10,090 交易量

Dan Koh

$3,580 交易量

76%

瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特

$1,645 交易量

10%

Seth Moulton

$0 交易量

10%

凱文·拉里維

$1,228 交易量

5%

Tram Nguyen

$0 交易量

5%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$0 交易量

3%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$0 交易量

3%

多米尼克·潘加洛

$0 交易量

3%

Rick Jakious

$2,291 交易量

3%

約翰·貝西亞

$0 交易量

2%

Rachel Creemers

$0 交易量

2%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,346 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 75% implied probability to win the Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his commanding early fundraising—over $2 million raised, a state House record—and surging endorsements in the open-seat race triggered by incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate challenge against Sen. Ed Markey. Koh secured first ballot access on March 26 and garnered recent backing from Swampscott Select Board Vice Chair Doug Thompson yesterday, plus prior nods from ex-Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, former Rep. John Tierney, and North Shore Building Trades Council. Mariah Lancaster (9.8%) and Moulton (9.6%) trail in the nine-candidate field amid a March 2 forum on healthcare and immigration; no public polls exist, leaving skin-in-the-game bets on Koh's momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$10,090
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 75% implied probability to win the Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his commanding early fundraising—over $2 million raised, a state House record—and surging endorsements in the open-seat race triggered by incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's October 2025 Senate challenge against Sen. Ed Markey. Koh secured first ballot access on March 26 and garnered recent backing from Swampscott Select Board Vice Chair Doug Thompson yesterday, plus prior nods from ex-Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, former Rep. John Tierney, and North Shore Building Trades Council. Mariah Lancaster (9.8%) and Moulton (9.6%) trail in the nine-candidate field amid a March 2 forum on healthcare and immigration; no public polls exist, leaving skin-in-the-game bets on Koh's momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$10,090
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 76%, followed by "瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Dan Koh" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "瑪麗亞·蘭卡斯特" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.