Market icon
政治·Jerome Powell

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？

Market icon
政治·Jerome Powell

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？

$1,884,958 交易量

2026-05-14
Polymarket

$1,884,958 交易量

Polymarket

5月14日

$889,575 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he has affirmed he will remain until a successor is Senate-confirmed, driving low trader odds on near-term departure. President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh on March 4, yet confirmation faces hurdles including a stalled DOJ criminal probe into Powell—blocked by a federal judge on March 13 amid appeals—and resistance from senators like Thom Tillis. The Senate Banking Committee has scheduled Warsh's hearing for the week of April 13, with a full Senate vote needed before May; delays could extend Powell's tenure as acting chair, his board seat secure until 2028. Upcoming Fed policy decisions, including April 28, add uncertainty to leadership transition amid inflation pressures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,884,958
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he has affirmed he will remain until a successor is Senate-confirmed, driving low trader odds on near-term departure. President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh on March 4, yet confirmation faces hurdles including a stalled DOJ criminal probe into Powell—blocked by a federal judge on March 13 amid appeals—and resistance from senators like Thom Tillis. The Senate Banking Committee has scheduled Warsh's hearing for the week of April 13, with a full Senate vote needed before May; delays could extend Powell's tenure as acting chair, his board seat secure until 2028. Upcoming Fed policy decisions, including April 28, add uncertainty to leadership transition amid inflation pressures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,884,958
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5月14日" at 1%, followed by "3月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" is "5月14日" at just 1%, with "3月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.