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2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?

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2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?

12月 31

12月 31

0 49%

1-100 18.1%

25,000-100,000 7.4%

一萬到兩萬五千 7.1%

Polymarket

$131,006 交易量

0 49%

1-100 18.1%

25,000-100,000 7.4%

一萬到兩萬五千 7.1%

Polymarket

$131,006 交易量

0

$26,131 交易量

44%

1-100

$10,397 交易量

18%

101-1千

$5,023 交易量

4%

1千至2千5百

$7,518 交易量

6%

2,500-5,000

$4,432 交易量

5%

5千-1萬

$4,832 交易量

6%

一萬到兩萬五千

$54,356 交易量

7%

25,000-100,000

$4,367 交易量

7%

>100,000

$13,950 交易量

4%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 42.5%, reflecting skepticism over the Trump administration's new immigration program's rollout amid legal challenges and weak demand.** Launched via executive action in December 2025 with USCIS Form I-140G for applications, the $1 million individual fee (or $2 million corporate) for expedited permanent residency has drawn lawsuits, including a February federal challenge arguing it unlawfully prioritizes wealth over merit. A March Barron's analysis highlighted its uncompetitiveness against the cheaper EB-5 investor visa, with no verified 2026 issuances despite early $1.3 billion sales claims tied to processing fees. Low volumes like 1-100 cards at 18% imply potential trickle if courts clear hurdles, but processing delays and high barriers sustain doubts on scaling. Upcoming rulings could shift probabilities.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$131,006
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 42.5%, reflecting skepticism over the Trump administration's new immigration program's rollout amid legal challenges and weak demand.** Launched via executive action in December 2025 with USCIS Form I-140G for applications, the $1 million individual fee (or $2 million corporate) for expedited permanent residency has drawn lawsuits, including a February federal challenge arguing it unlawfully prioritizes wealth over merit. A March Barron's analysis highlighted its uncompetitiveness against the cheaper EB-5 investor visa, with no verified 2026 issuances despite early $1.3 billion sales claims tied to processing fees. Low volumes like 1-100 cards at 18% imply potential trickle if courts clear hurdles, but processing delays and high barriers sustain doubts on scaling. Upcoming rulings could shift probabilities.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$131,006
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 44%, followed by "1-100" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?" has generated $131K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?" is "0" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1-100" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.