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科技·AI

到6月30日， Waymo將在幾個城市營運？

Market icon
科技·AI

到6月30日， Waymo將在幾個城市營運？

12+ 44%

11 18%

10 15%

≤5 8.5%

Polymarket

$133,014 交易量

12+ 44%

11 18%

10 15%

≤5 8.5%

Polymarket

$133,014 交易量

≤5

$40,316 交易量

8%

6

$15,185 交易量

4%

7

$11,339 交易量

3%

8

$11,831 交易量

4%

9

$15,176 交易量

4%

10

$9,415 交易量

15%

11

$10,663 交易量

18%

12+

$19,089 交易量

46%

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's trader consensus favors 12+ cities at 45.5% implied probability by June 30, driven by its February 24 launches of public robotaxi service in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando—expanding to 10 U.S. markets amid a $16 billion funding round and sixth-generation Waymo Driver enabling diverse environments like harsh winters. This rapid scaling, now delivering 500,000 weekly paid rides, builds on prior 2025 rollouts in Miami and others, positioning Waymo ahead of rivals in commercial deployment. Upcoming catalysts include potential regulatory approvals for testing-to-launch transitions in Denver, Detroit, Las Vegas, Nashville, San Diego, and Washington, D.C., though city-specific permitting and safety data validation could cap growth at 10-11 if delays arise.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$133,014
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's trader consensus favors 12+ cities at 45.5% implied probability by June 30, driven by its February 24 launches of public robotaxi service in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando—expanding to 10 U.S. markets amid a $16 billion funding round and sixth-generation Waymo Driver enabling diverse environments like harsh winters. This rapid scaling, now delivering 500,000 weekly paid rides, builds on prior 2025 rollouts in Miami and others, positioning Waymo ahead of rivals in commercial deployment. Upcoming catalysts include potential regulatory approvals for testing-to-launch transitions in Denver, Detroit, Las Vegas, Nashville, San Diego, and Washington, D.C., though city-specific permitting and safety data validation could cap growth at 10-11 if delays arise.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$133,014
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"到6月30日， Waymo將在幾個城市營運？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12+" at 46%, followed by "11" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "到6月30日， Waymo將在幾個城市營運？" has generated $133K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "到6月30日， Waymo將在幾個城市營運？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "到6月30日， Waymo將在幾個城市營運？" is "12+" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "11" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "到6月30日， Waymo將在幾個城市營運？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.