Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Denver highs of 66-69°F on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-to-upper 60s amid a transitioning weather pattern from record-hot March 2026—Denver's warmest on record at 51.6°F average—to cooler, showery conditions. The near-tie between 66-67°F (23.5%) and 68-69°F (25%) stems from ensemble spread: some members depict faster frontal passage allowing more diurnal heating and sunnier skies for 70+, while others show persistent low clouds and light precipitation capping temps nearer 64-65°F, consistent with the 60°F climatological normal. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing; watch 00z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
66-67°F 26%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 12%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
7%
76°F or higher
5%
66-67°F 26%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 12%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
7%
76°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Denver highs of 66-69°F on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-to-upper 60s amid a transitioning weather pattern from record-hot March 2026—Denver's warmest on record at 51.6°F average—to cooler, showery conditions. The near-tie between 66-67°F (23.5%) and 68-69°F (25%) stems from ensemble spread: some members depict faster frontal passage allowing more diurnal heating and sunnier skies for 70+, while others show persistent low clouds and light precipitation capping temps nearer 64-65°F, consistent with the 60°F climatological normal. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing; watch 00z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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