Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting Denver's April 2 high in the low-to-mid 70s°F, about 10-15°F above the 60°F climatological normal, amid a closely bunched field of probabilities. This stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming following late March's record heat wave, including highs near 90°F. However, an approaching mid-level trough signals increased cloud cover and a modest cool-down, with model spread—GFS holding warmer, ECMWF cooler—driving uncertainty between 67°F or below and 76-81°F bins. Key differentiators include trough progression speed and boundary-layer mixing; watch Thursday's 12z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
67°F or below
16%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
67°F or below
16%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting Denver's April 2 high in the low-to-mid 70s°F, about 10-15°F above the 60°F climatological normal, amid a closely bunched field of probabilities. This stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming following late March's record heat wave, including highs near 90°F. However, an approaching mid-level trough signals increased cloud cover and a modest cool-down, with model spread—GFS holding warmer, ECMWF cooler—driving uncertainty between 67°F or below and 76-81°F bins. Key differentiators include trough progression speed and boundary-layer mixing; watch Thursday's 12z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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