Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Denver's high temperature on April 3, driven by the track of an intense spring low-pressure system forecast to impact Colorado on April 3-4, per National Weather Service guidance and global models. Recent GFS runs suggest potential cloudiness and showers over northeast Colorado including Denver, capping highs near mid-50s°F, while ECMWF ensembles shift heaviest precipitation southeast, allowing 60s°F; this model divergence explains the tight clustering of probabilities (54-55°F at 23%, others 17-19.5%). Following late March's record warmth (87°F on March 25), the pattern shift introduces cooling, with normal highs around 60°F amid above-normal April outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Daily model updates and NWS advisories through April 1 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official Denver observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
56-57°F 19%
62-63°F 19%
54-55°F 19%
58-59°F 18%
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
9%
68°F or higher
14%
56-57°F 19%
62-63°F 19%
54-55°F 19%
58-59°F 18%
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
9%
68°F or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Denver's high temperature on April 3, driven by the track of an intense spring low-pressure system forecast to impact Colorado on April 3-4, per National Weather Service guidance and global models. Recent GFS runs suggest potential cloudiness and showers over northeast Colorado including Denver, capping highs near mid-50s°F, while ECMWF ensembles shift heaviest precipitation southeast, allowing 60s°F; this model divergence explains the tight clustering of probabilities (54-55°F at 23%, others 17-19.5%). Following late March's record warmth (87°F on March 25), the pattern shift introduces cooling, with normal highs around 60°F amid above-normal April outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Daily model updates and NWS advisories through April 1 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official Denver observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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