President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid backlash over her handling of Jeffrey Epstein files—including her February 2025 claim of a "client list" on her desk, later contradicted by the DOJ—has intensified scrutiny but not yielded a formal list. The DOJ released over 3.5 million responsive pages on January 30 without such a document, while House Oversight Committee Chair James Comer disclosed in March that Epstein's accountant named five direct clients: the Rothschilds, Les Wexner, Leon Black, Glenn Dubin, and Steven Sinofsky. Absent arrests or full disclosure, trader consensus prices a June 30 release at just 12%, with a new AG nomination, Senate confirmation hearings, and ongoing congressional subpoenas as pivotal upcoming events that could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,937,619 交易量
6月30日
12%
$3,937,619 交易量
6月30日
12%
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Dec 22, 2025, 7:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
有爭議
已提議結果: 是
有爭議
最終稽核
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
有爭議
已提議結果: 是
有爭議
最終稽核
President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid backlash over her handling of Jeffrey Epstein files—including her February 2025 claim of a "client list" on her desk, later contradicted by the DOJ—has intensified scrutiny but not yielded a formal list. The DOJ released over 3.5 million responsive pages on January 30 without such a document, while House Oversight Committee Chair James Comer disclosed in March that Epstein's accountant named five direct clients: the Rothschilds, Les Wexner, Leon Black, Glenn Dubin, and Steven Sinofsky. Absent arrests or full disclosure, trader consensus prices a June 30 release at just 12%, with a new AG nomination, Senate confirmation hearings, and ongoing congressional subpoenas as pivotal upcoming events that could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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