Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30, with 32% implied probability, fueled by SpaceX's blockbuster confidential IPO filing this week targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation after merging with xAI at $1.25 trillion—potentially unlocking massive paper gains on Musk's stake amid hype over Starship milestones and Mars ambitions. Tesla's Q1 2026 delivery miss of 358,000 vehicles, well below expectations, dragged shares to around $360 and Bloomberg's net worth estimate to $636 billion, capping near-term upside in the 600–650 billion cluster and differentiating lower bins amid EV market slowdowns. Upcoming Tesla earnings and SpaceX IPO updates could swing the closely contested field, reflecting high uncertainty in Musk's volatile empire.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6700億以上 31%
6300-6400億 12%
6500-6600億 10%
6000-6100億 10%
少於6000億
9%
6000-6100億
10%
6,100億-6,200億
9%
6200-6300億
9%
6300-6400億
12%
6400-6500億
10%
6500-6600億
10%
6600億-6700億
8%
6700億以上
31%
6700億以上 31%
6300-6400億 12%
6500-6600億 10%
6000-6100億 10%
少於6000億
9%
6000-6100億
10%
6,100億-6,200億
9%
6200-6300億
9%
6300-6400億
12%
6400-6500億
10%
6500-6600億
10%
6600億-6700億
8%
6700億以上
31%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $670 billion by April 30, with 32% implied probability, fueled by SpaceX's blockbuster confidential IPO filing this week targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation after merging with xAI at $1.25 trillion—potentially unlocking massive paper gains on Musk's stake amid hype over Starship milestones and Mars ambitions. Tesla's Q1 2026 delivery miss of 358,000 vehicles, well below expectations, dragged shares to around $360 and Bloomberg's net worth estimate to $636 billion, capping near-term upside in the 600–650 billion cluster and differentiating lower bins amid EV market slowdowns. Upcoming Tesla earnings and SpaceX IPO updates could swing the closely contested field, reflecting high uncertainty in Musk's volatile empire.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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