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選舉·世界選舉

2028年民主黨總統提名人

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年民主黨總統提名人

加文·紐森 24.1%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.2%

喬恩·奧索夫 6.2%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.4%

Polymarket

$920,507,874 交易量

加文·紐森 24.1%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.2%

喬恩·奧索夫 6.2%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.4%

Polymarket

$920,507,874 交易量

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加文·紐森

$15,478,093 交易量

24%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$6,006,855 交易量

8%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$5,663,754 交易量

6%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$8,452,460 交易量

4%

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喬什·夏皮羅

$5,713,480 交易量

4%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$9,251,156 交易量

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,425,728 交易量

2%

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喬恩·斯圖爾特

$9,389,476 交易量

2%

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馬克·凱利

$10,678,805 交易量

2%

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安迪·貝希爾

$5,904,748 交易量

2%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,300,404 交易量

2%

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魯本·加列戈

$3,459,390 交易量

2%

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韋斯·摩爾

$13,316,918 交易量

2%

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羅·卡納

$4,082,711 交易量

2%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$6,906,935 交易量

2%

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歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$42,296,602 交易量

1%

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科里·布克

$20,279,016 交易量

1%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$21,247,201 交易量

1%

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拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$10,906,334 交易量

1%

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克里斯·墨菲

$10,780,548 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$13,349,831 交易量

1%

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馬克·庫班

$17,295,763 交易量

1%

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巨石強森

$8,496,290 交易量

1%

Market icon

吉娜·雷蒙多

$26,930,371 交易量

1%

Market icon

莉茲·切尼

$31,812,841 交易量

1%

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約翰·費特曼

$16,531,688 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$38,139,615 交易量

1%

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羅伊·庫珀

$24,323,136 交易量

1%

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佐赫蘭·曼達尼

$32,781,468 交易量

1%

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切爾西·克林頓

$44,186,253 交易量

1%

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MrBeast

$34,921,566 交易量

1%

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喬治·克魯尼

$36,834,825 交易量

1%

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蒂姆·瓦爾茲

$36,107,959 交易量

1%

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安德魯·楊

$41,694,145 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$32,388,389 交易量

1%

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賈里德·波利斯

$19,012,902 交易量

1%

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希拉蕊·柯林頓

$37,002,500 交易量

1%

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巴拉克·歐巴馬

$24,936,336 交易量

1%

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貝托·奧羅克

$30,745,900 交易量

1%

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菲爾·墨菲

$33,134,190 交易量

1%

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亨特·拜登

$31,156,028 交易量

1%

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賈思敏·克羅克特

$22,149,836 交易量

1%

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拉斐爾·沃諾克

$23,861,438 交易量

1%

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伯尼·桑德斯

$38,178,870 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands the highest Polymarket implied probability at 24.1% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his national profile from recent media tours, fundraising dominance exceeding $50 million, and positioning as a foil to Republican policies post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3%, buoyed by progressive grassroots energy and social media influence, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 6.2% reflects his appeal as a young battleground victor. The fragmented field underscores a wide-open primary; consolidation could stem from 2026 midterm successes elevating governors or senators, pivotal endorsements from party elders, early Iowa or New Hampshire polling shifts, or standout debate performances in the coming cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$920,507,874
結束日期
Nov 7, 2028
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands the highest Polymarket implied probability at 24.1% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his national profile from recent media tours, fundraising dominance exceeding $50 million, and positioning as a foil to Republican policies post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3%, buoyed by progressive grassroots energy and social media influence, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 6.2% reflects his appeal as a young battleground victor. The fragmented field underscores a wide-open primary; consolidation could stem from 2026 midterm successes elevating governors or senators, pivotal endorsements from party elders, early Iowa or New Hampshire polling shifts, or standout debate performances in the coming cycle.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands the highest Polymarket implied probability at 24.1% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his national profile from recent media tours, fundraising dominance exceeding $50 million, and positioning as a foil to Republican policies post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3%, buoyed by progressive grassroots energy and social media influence, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 6.2% reflects his appeal as a young battleground victor. The fragmented field underscores a wide-open primary; consolidation could stem from 2026 midterm successes elevating governors or senators, pivotal endorsements from party elders, early Iowa or New Hampshire polling shifts, or standout debate performances in the coming cycle.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加文·紐森" at 24%, followed by "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主黨總統提名人" has generated $920.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" is "加文·紐森" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.