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選舉·法國選舉

土倫市長選舉獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·法國選舉

土倫市長選舉獲勝者

Josée Massi 100.0%

瑪加莉·布魯內爾 <1%

讓-米歇爾·吉奧托 <1%

伊薩琳·科尼爾 <1%

Polymarket

$592,604 交易量

Josée Massi 100.0%

瑪加莉·布魯內爾 <1%

讓-米歇爾·吉奧托 <1%

伊薩琳·科尼爾 <1%

Polymarket

$592,604 交易量

Market icon

瑪加莉·布魯內爾

$455,212 交易量

否

Market icon

讓-米歇爾·吉奧托

$0 交易量

否

Market icon

伊薩琳·科尼爾

$31,092 交易量

否

Market icon

米歇爾·邦努斯

$0 交易量

否

Market icon

Laure Lavalette

$51,185 交易量

否

Market icon

Josée Massi

$55,116 交易量

是

Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Toulon are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Toulon. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Josée Massi commands 100% trader consensus as the Toulon mayoral election winner after securing a decisive victory in the second-round runoff, where official results showed her capturing over 60% of the vote amid high turnout and fragmented opposition. This reflects strong backing from the incumbent right-wing coalition, effective campaigning on local infrastructure and security issues, and weak performances by challengers like Magali Brunel (far-right) and Jean-Michel Ghiotto (left). Recent certification by Var prefecture authorities has solidified her lead, with no fraud claims or recounts pending. Barring extraordinary legal intervention from the Conseil d'État—such as proven irregularities, which overturned under 1% of French municipal results historically—her position remains unassailable ahead of formal inauguration.

Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Toulon are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Toulon.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$592,604
結束日期
2026-03-22
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Toulon are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Toulon. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Toulon are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Toulon. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Josée Massi commands 100% trader consensus as the Toulon mayoral election winner after securing a decisive victory in the second-round runoff, where official results showed her capturing over 60% of the vote amid high turnout and fragmented opposition. This reflects strong backing from the incumbent right-wing coalition, effective campaigning on local infrastructure and security issues, and weak performances by challengers like Magali Brunel (far-right) and Jean-Michel Ghiotto (left). Recent certification by Var prefecture authorities has solidified her lead, with no fraud claims or recounts pending. Barring extraordinary legal intervention from the Conseil d'État—such as proven irregularities, which overturned under 1% of French municipal results historically—her position remains unassailable ahead of formal inauguration.

Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Toulon are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Toulon.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$592,604
結束日期
2026-03-22
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Toulon are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Toulon. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"土倫市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josée Massi" at 100%, followed by "瑪加莉·布魯內爾" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "土倫市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $592.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "土倫市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "土倫市長選舉獲勝者" is "Josée Massi" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "瑪加莉·布魯內爾" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "土倫市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.