Market icon
金融·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Market icon
金融·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

蘋果 99.6%

Alphabet <1%

微軟 <1%

英偉達 <1%

Polymarket

$2,600,249 交易量

蘋果 99.6%

Alphabet <1%

微軟 <1%

英偉達 <1%

Polymarket

$2,600,249 交易量

Market icon

蘋果

$462,021 交易量

100%

Market icon

Alphabet

$419,889 交易量

<1%

Market icon

微軟

$257,507 交易量

<1%

Market icon

英偉達

$221,788 交易量

<1%

Market icon

沙烏地阿美公司

$193,657 交易量

<1%

Market icon

特斯拉

$815,787 交易量

<1%

Market icon

亞馬遜

$229,639 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple as the 2nd largest company by market capitalization at an overwhelming 99.5% implied probability, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance securing the top spot, while Apple's ecosystem strength and services revenue growth have stabilized its #2 rank amid lackluster challengers; Alphabet would need a ~10% share surge without Apple declines to overtake in the final two trading days to March 31 close. Recent trading shows minimal volatility, with Apple's cap edging up from $3.652 trillion on March 27, underscoring the low-risk consensus despite tail risks like unforeseen sector rotations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple as the 2nd largest company by market capitalization at an overwhelming 99.5% implied probability, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance securing the top spot, while Apple's ecosystem strength and services revenue growth have stabilized its #2 rank amid lackluster challengers; Alphabet would need a ~10% share surge without Apple declines to overtake in the final two trading days to March 31 close. Recent trading shows minimal volatility, with Apple's cap edging up from $3.652 trillion on March 27, underscoring the low-risk consensus despite tail risks like unforeseen sector rotations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple as the 2nd largest company by market capitalization at an overwhelming 99.5% implied probability, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance securing the top spot, while Apple's ecosystem strength and services revenue growth have stabilized its #2 rank amid lackluster challengers; Alphabet would need a ~10% share surge without Apple declines to overtake in the final two trading days to March 31 close. Recent trading shows minimal volatility, with Apple's cap edging up from $3.652 trillion on March 27, underscoring the low-risk consensus despite tail risks like unforeseen sector rotations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple as the 2nd largest company by market capitalization at an overwhelming 99.5% implied probability, reflecting its current $3.656 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.071 trillion but ahead of Alphabet's $3.311 trillion by a $345 billion gap. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance securing the top spot, while Apple's ecosystem strength and services revenue growth have stabilized its #2 rank amid lackluster challengers; Alphabet would need a ~10% share surge without Apple declines to overtake in the final two trading days to March 31 close. Recent trading shows minimal volatility, with Apple's cap edging up from $3.652 trillion on March 27, underscoring the low-risk consensus despite tail risks like unforeseen sector rotations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"第二大公司3月底？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘋果" at 100%, followed by "Alphabet" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "第二大公司3月底？" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "第二大公司3月底？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "第二大公司3月底？" is "蘋果" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "第二大公司3月底？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.