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2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

Market icon

2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

鍾元五 66%

吳世勳 16%

朴柱民 11.2%

洪翼杓 <1%

Polymarket

$10,243,057 交易量

鍾元五 66%

吳世勳 16%

朴柱民 11.2%

洪翼杓 <1%

Polymarket

$10,243,057 交易量

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鍾元五

$314,434 交易量

66%

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吳世勳

$567,237 交易量

16%

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朴柱民

$413,054 交易量

11%

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洪翼杓

$847,704 交易量

<1%

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趙恩熙

$1,182,282 交易量

<1%

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安哲秀

$607,541 交易量

<1%

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朴用鎮

$1,172,845 交易量

<1%

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曹國

$675,948 交易量

<1%

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羅卿瑗

$904,957 交易量

<1%

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樸洪根

$795,187 交易量

<1%

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徐瑛教

$891,378 交易量

<1%

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全賢姬

$744,700 交易量

<1%

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姜勳植

$415,285 交易量

<1%

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韓東勳

$712,252 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Democratic Party frontrunner Chong Won-oh commands trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his lead in recent general polls—such as a fresh survey showing him at 42.6% against incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 28.0%—and dominance in the party's ongoing primary using dues-paying member votes. He advanced with Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui to the main primary after March 24 preliminaries, bolstered by their first TV debate on March 31 where rivals targeted but failed to dent his poll edge. Oh Se-hoon trails at 16.0% amid People Power Party primary clashes, including yesterday's leadership debate criticizing his record, while Park Ju-min holds 11.2% as a viable Democratic alternative. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's urban electorate favoring opposition momentum.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
交易量
$10,243,057
結束日期
2026-06-03
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Democratic Party frontrunner Chong Won-oh commands trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his lead in recent general polls—such as a fresh survey showing him at 42.6% against incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 28.0%—and dominance in the party's ongoing primary using dues-paying member votes. He advanced with Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui to the main primary after March 24 preliminaries, bolstered by their first TV debate on March 31 where rivals targeted but failed to dent his poll edge. Oh Se-hoon trails at 16.0% amid People Power Party primary clashes, including yesterday's leadership debate criticizing his record, while Park Ju-min holds 11.2% as a viable Democratic alternative. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's urban electorate favoring opposition momentum.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
交易量
$10,243,057
結束日期
2026-06-03
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "鍾元五" at 66%, followed by "吳世勳" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $10.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" is "鍾元五" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "吳世勳" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.