Democratic Party frontrunner Chong Won-oh commands trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his lead in recent general polls—such as a fresh survey showing him at 42.6% against incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 28.0%—and dominance in the party's ongoing primary using dues-paying member votes. He advanced with Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui to the main primary after March 24 preliminaries, bolstered by their first TV debate on March 31 where rivals targeted but failed to dent his poll edge. Oh Se-hoon trails at 16.0% amid People Power Party primary clashes, including yesterday's leadership debate criticizing his record, while Park Ju-min holds 11.2% as a viable Democratic alternative. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's urban electorate favoring opposition momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於鍾元五 66%
吳世勳 16%
朴柱民 11.2%
洪翼杓 <1%
$10,243,057 交易量
$10,243,057 交易量

鍾元五
66%

吳世勳
16%

朴柱民
11%

洪翼杓
<1%

趙恩熙
<1%

安哲秀
<1%

朴用鎮
<1%

曹國
<1%

羅卿瑗
<1%

樸洪根
<1%

徐瑛教
<1%

全賢姬
<1%

姜勳植
<1%

韓東勳
<1%
鍾元五 66%
吳世勳 16%
朴柱民 11.2%
洪翼杓 <1%
$10,243,057 交易量
$10,243,057 交易量

鍾元五
66%

吳世勳
16%

朴柱民
11%

洪翼杓
<1%

趙恩熙
<1%

安哲秀
<1%

朴用鎮
<1%

曹國
<1%

羅卿瑗
<1%

樸洪根
<1%

徐瑛教
<1%

全賢姬
<1%

姜勳植
<1%

韓東勳
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
市場開放時間: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party frontrunner Chong Won-oh commands trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his lead in recent general polls—such as a fresh survey showing him at 42.6% against incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 28.0%—and dominance in the party's ongoing primary using dues-paying member votes. He advanced with Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui to the main primary after March 24 preliminaries, bolstered by their first TV debate on March 31 where rivals targeted but failed to dent his poll edge. Oh Se-hoon trails at 16.0% amid People Power Party primary clashes, including yesterday's leadership debate criticizing his record, while Park Ju-min holds 11.2% as a viable Democratic alternative. Primaries conclude soon, with Seoul's urban electorate favoring opposition momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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